Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Tech Tonic
Scott Rutt
08/12/08 - 02:45 PM EDT
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Jim Cramer explored the intricacies of market momentum on a shortened, midday episode of his
Mad Money TV show Tuesday.
He said that much of the recent market action has to do with momentum and not the fundamentals. This means that some hard-and-fast rules of investing may have to be temporarily suspended until this move is over, he said.
Cramer said that one such hard-and-fast rule is to sell tech stocks in February and not look back until the fall. In fact, in 16 of the past 17 years, this rule has held true, he said.
However, the recent market momentum is clearly in the tech stocks' favor, with companies like
Intel (INTC),
Microsoft (MSFT),
Google (GOOG),
Apple (AAPL),
Research In Motion (RIMM),
Amazon.com (AMZN) and even
Qualcomm (QCOM), which he also chose for his
Action Alerts PLUS portfolio,
and
Applied Materials (AMAT) either trending higher or making positive comments about their outlooks.
Cramer expects to see continued sector rotation out of the oil and natural gas sectors and into these seemingly inflated tech names.
Cramer also reiterated his price target for oil at $110 a barrel or $3.50 a gallon for gasoline. While he said it's tempting to consider $80 to $90 for a barrel of oil, the real demand, he feels, continues to be at the $110 level.
Cramer: Auction-Rate Debt Won't Break Banks |
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A Winning Recipe
In his new "Executive Decision" segment, Cramer talked with
General Mills (
GIS)
president and CEO Ken Powell about the company's stronger-than-expected earnings despite rising input costs.
Powell noted that General Mills first predicted raw cost inflation in 2003 and 2004, when the company began taking steps to combat them. He said that the company has an intensive, holistic approach to eliminate waste and cut costs.
Powell also cited strong international growth as a key to the company's continued success. With 25% of the company's sales now overseas, Powell sees continued growth in China and in other overseas markets.
Finally, Powell said that new products and innovation are driving his company forward. He noted the company's "Fiber One" brand as one that's doing exceptionally well in an otherwise difficult market.
Outrage of the Day
In this segment, Cramer called out
Fortress Investment Group (FIG) chairman and CEO Wes Edens for his $300 million payment to CIO Adam Levinson while the company posted a $55.6 million loss for the quarter with revenues falling 30%.
Cramer also directed viewers to the recent action in
Great Atlantic & Pacific (GAP), which also posted a horrible quarter, but is now seeing strong insider buying.
Finally, Cramer said the time is now right to buy
Fluor (FLR). He said the stock has fallen way to far in relation to the price of oil and natural gas. He's also bullish on
Nabors Industries (NBR) and
Halliburton (HAL).
Cramer also sees strength in the defense contractors ahead of the Republican Convention. He recommended
General Dynamics (GD),
L-3 Communications (LLL),
Northrop Grumman (NOC) and
Raytheon (RTN) as great short-term plays.
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