Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: July 7
Scott Rutt
07/07/08 - 07:44 PM EDT
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"Wall Street is a brutal fashion show," Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Monday.
He likened the current action in the market to vagaries of the fashion industry, where styles change on a moment's notice. "The export-oriented stocks that have been working so well for us are going out of style," he said. "It's now recession season on Wall Street."
Cramer said the market is headed towards an oil-induced recession. With earnings expectations down 11% from last year's levels, Cramer told viewers it's time for a shift in strategy. He advocated using any strength in the market to take profits and reposition into defensive stocks and cash.
Cramer drew a comparison of today's markets to that of 1990-91, when the S&P500 saw a drop of 16% due largely in part to weakness in the financials.
During that same period, he observed, biotech stocks led the way. For example,
Genentech (DNA Quote) rose 33%, while
Amgen (AMGN Quote) gained 133%.
"If you want to get through the next three months," Cramer told viewers, "you need secular growth stocks with pricing power and no problems with raw costs."
Cramer: 'Bailout' Isn't a Dirty Word |
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He said that traditional recession stocks would normally include the food and beverage names, but with raw costs rising, these stocks, with perhaps the exception of
Heinz (HNZ Quote) and
General Mills (GIS Quote), are the wrong move for this market.
"People looking for defensive stocks have nowhere else to turn," said Cramer will spend the rest of the week talking about his favorite biotech names.
Bullish on Genentech
Cramer lauded health care as "the safest sector around" and tabbed
Genentech(DNA Quote) as his first biotech favorite. "The Street wants year-over-year growth and I think Genentech can deliver," he said.
Cramer credits much of Genentech's strength and future to its cancer-fighting drug Avastin. He called Avastin a "wonder drug," noting that while the drug doesn't cure cancer, Genentech has been able to continually find new uses for it. Avastin, he said, is now used for not only breast cancer but also for colon and lung cancer, with several other treatments in development.
Cramer also likes Genentech for its myriad other drugs and its strong drug pipeline, which he feels will give the stock many catalysts over the next year.
Cramer said it's time to buy shares of Genentech off the company's negative press from a recent
New York Times story. He called the Times story a non-event and said the resulting weakness in the shares provides a perfect entry point to buy the stock.
Cramer also noted that sales of Avastin, which have been sluggish for the past three quarters, are set to beat expectations and begin boosting the stock.
A Cautionary Note
Cramer welcomed Larry Lee, chairman and CEO of
RAM Energy (RAME Quote), to the show to discuss the future of natural gas, a commodity that is up 65% year to date, and natural gas stocks.
Lee said that with oil over $100 a barrel, the price of natural gas still has room to run to the upside. He called natural gas the best fossil fuel available in the U.S. and said there is plenty of it in the newly discovered shale fields throughout the country. He did caution, however, that some of the rampant land speculation in the shale areas, may be a bearish indicator.
Cramer said he felt the stocks in this sector got too hot, too quickly, but reiterated that he's bullish long-term on the sector. While he urged viewers to exercise caution, he called the recent pullbacks in many of the top natural gas stocks an attractive entry point.
Mad Mail
In this segment, Cramer told viewers that the fertilizer and mineral stocks are in a free-fall at the moment and that he's cautious. He said that
Sociedad Quimica (SQM Quote) is still one of his favorite names once the bottom has been established.
Sudden Death
Cramer was bullish on
Mastercard (MA Quote)
and
Frontline (FRO Quote).
Cramer was bearish on
Boeing (BA Quote),
Visa (V Quote)
and
General Maritime Corp (GMR Quote).
Lightning Round
Cramer was bullish on
Procter & Gamble (PG Quote).
Cramer was bearish on
Mosaic (MOS Quote),
United States Steel (X Quote),
Bank of New York Mellon (BK Quote)
and
Petrohawk Energy (HK Quote).
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clicking here.
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