Stockpickr

Top Rocket Stocks for Week: Walter

James Altucher

05/12/08 - 11:57 AM EDT
Updated from 7:11 a.m. EDT

Each week I hunt for stocks that I believe have the potential to climb higher in coming days. I compile and publish these ideas every Monday in the Rocket Stocks portfolio.

With the market's recent volatility, the best way to trade lately has been to find beaten-down stocks that have both short-term catalysts and strong fundamentals.

With such potentially volatile stocks, all you really need is a small chance that the shorts will start to panick on a rise in stock price, driving up the share price further as the shorts are forced to cover their bearish bets.

Back-testing on the Nasdaq 100 stocks shows that that a stock that drops 10% in a day will, on average, be 2% higher one week later. Conversely, if a stock is up 10% in a day, it is usually down one week later.

But before we delve into this week's Rocket Stocks, let's take a quick look at how last week's picks performed.

Now let's take a look at the Rocket Stocks for the Week of May 12-16.

First up this week is Shaw Group (SGR Quote - Cramer on SGR - Stock Picks), which could pop if investors start flocking back into construction companies.

Shares of Shaw Group have been under substantial pressure, down from an all-time high of roughly $77 primarily due to a belief that a U.S.-led slowdown will affect the broader global construction market.

Despite the recent drop in share price, Shaw Group has maintained its previous guidance for the 2008 year. With an almost $8 billion backlog and 68% of the that backlog going to be converted to revenue over the next 24 months, Shaw Group offers a potential snapback play.

Another name to keep an eye this week is LDK Solar (LDK Quote - Cramer on LDK - Stock Picks). Despite the parabolic move in oil, the solar names in general have lagged.

Down substantially from its all-time high near $77, LDK could snap back after it reports its earnings. The solar wafers company is scheduled to report after Monday's market close.

Another company worth looking into for a possible play is Walter Industries (WLT Quote - Cramer on WLT - Stock Picks), one of the largest servicers of coal and natural gas companies.

With coal prices ripping and names like Arch Coal (ACI Quote - Cramer on ACI - Stock Picks), Peabody Energy (BTU Quote - Cramer on BTU - Stock Picks), James River Coal (JRCC Quote - Cramer on JRCC - Stock Picks) and International Coal (ICO Quote - Cramer on ICO - Stock Picks) all near or at 52-week highs, it is only natural to assume that various Walter Industries products are in huge demand.

Walter Industries also got a few serious upgrades last week, notably from Brean Murray Carret, which boosted its price target to $150 from $107 a share. The stock closed Friday at $82.46. Brean Murry Carret said that "Walter would greatly benefit from higher coal prices."

Another stock making the Rocket Stocks for the Week of May 12-16 is Hewlett-Packard (HPQ Quote - Cramer on HPQ - Stock Picks), which is set to report earnings this week. Other stocks making this week's list include Deere (DE Quote - Cramer on DE - Stock Picks) and Canadian Solar (CSIQ Quote - Cramer on CSIQ - Stock Picks).

As always, to find the snapbacks and potential breakouts on a regular basis, check out these Stockpickr portfolios, which I use in my own research each week:

Another place to frequent is the Answers section on Stockpickr, where ideas such as those presented in this article are thrown around daily. And you can further discuss your ideas and share opinions in Stockpickr's Members' Forums section.