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The Market Story

Credit Fears Crush Wall Street

Sarina Penn

03/06/08 - 05:14 PM EST
Updated from 4:09 p.m. EST

Stocks in New York sank Thursday as worries about margin calls and low-priced asset sales kept credit-related jitters alive, pressuring the financials and dragging down Wall Street.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 214.60 points, or 1.8%, to 12,040.39, and the S&P 500 was off 29.36 points, or 2.2%, at 1304.34. The Nasdaq tumbled 52.31 points, or 2.3%, at 2220.50. The S&P and the Nasdaq haven't been this low since September 2006.

Breadth was very poor. About 4.06 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, with decliners beating advancers by a 9-to-1 margin. Volume on the Nasdaq reached 2.16 billion shares as losers beat winners 4 to 1.

One of the primary culprits for the retreat was Thornburg Mortgage (TMA Quote), who couldn't meet a $28 million margin call from JPMorgan Chase (JPM Quote). That set off a series of defaults and sent Thornburg's shares plunging 51.5% to $1.65 as investors fretted about its future.

Meanwhile, UBS (UBS Quote) delivered another blow as reports came out that the Swiss financial-services giant might have sold $24 billion in mortgage securities on the cheap. Shares of UBS closed down 4.3% at $29.52.

At the same time, word emerged that a publicly traded Carlyle Group U.K.-based bond fund has been handed a default notice after it wasn't able to meet four margin calls.

With few signs the credit crisis that began in earnest last year is abating, traders found no impetus to buy, and as has been the case for months, the financial sector was at the center of the storm.

"What's unnerving everybody is that the root of the [market] declines are tied to our biggest financial institutions," said Steven Sheldon, CFA and principal with SMS Capital Management. "Excesses in the financial sector are kind of scary, because we need healthy banks to drive the economy forward."

The biggest securities firms lost ground after Keefe Bruyette lowered their earnings estimates, cutting its view on Bear Stearns (BSC Quote), Goldman Sachs (GS Quote), Lehman Brothers (LEH Quote), Merrill Lynch (MER Quote) and Morgan Stanley (MS Quote), in order to account for possible writedowns related to their commercial real estate exposure.

Shares of those names lost at least 3.8% apiece, and Merrill was one of the hardest hit, falling 7%.

Also smarting from negative analyst research was Washington Mutual (WM Quote), shares of which slumped 8.1% after Standard & Poor's cut some of the bank's ratings and placed it on credit watch negative, citing broad worries about the continued slide of the housing market.

Not to be left out, Citigroup (C Quote) shed 4.4%, and Bank of America (BAC Quote) gave back 2.7%. The NYSE Financial Sector Index lost 3.3%, the KBW Bank Index surrendered 3.7%, and the Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index slid 4.9%.

It was only last month that Thornburg was heralded as a stalwart survivor of the subprime mess, having confirmed a return to profitability in the fourth quarter following mammoth losses in the prior one. The lender had also reinstated its dividend in December.

So the fact that the firm has plunged back into the abyss is very worrying, said Sheldon. Investors "don't have any sense of where or when we're going to hit bottom with regard to financials," he said. "And you've got to see strength in financials before the rest of the market can recover."

He noted that investors were hoping that the epidemic of bad loans would stay contained to the residential real estate market, but "now it's clear that it's spreading to commercial real estate, and we're seeing it impacting the stock prices of other financial intermediaries. And when you see these banks get lower and lower, people get scared and think of the worst -- potential big failures and the ramifications of that."

In the prior session, the major averages lost their early strength after bond insurer Ambac (ABK Quote) announced a cash-injection plan that was less impressive than expected, though stocks recovered enough to end on an uptick.

This time, Ambac finished down 14.7%. Shares stayed under water even after CNBC reported that the company's stock-and-equity offering will have a backstop, according to sources, meaning if the offer isn't fully subscribed, banks will agree to pick up the difference. The network also said the deal will ultimately be worth more than $1.5 billion.

MBIA (MBI Quote), another monoline, declined 4.8%.

The new day also brought monthly sales from the bulk of the nation's chain stores. Wal-Mart (WMT Quote) said its comparable sales jumped 2.6% in February, more than doubling analysts' consensus estimate of a 1.1% increase.

Total sales for the world's biggest merchant rose 8.9% to $29.2 billion last month. Additionally, Wal-Mart set plans to boost its annual dividend 8% to 95 cents a share. Wal-Mart's stock added 0.9%.

At Target (TGT Quote), same-store sales rose 0.5%, whereas analysts were expecting a 0.2% decline. Total sales were up almost 6% to $4.4 billion. Shares of Target lost 1%.

Most retailers exceeded their anticipated numbers, but among those coming up short was Gap (GPS Quote), who had a 6% decline in comps. The estimate was for a drop of 2.8%. Shares of Gap fell 5.6%.

As for earnings, pet-supply store PetSmart (PETM Quote), reported a receding fourth-quarter profit and predicted its bottom line will probably drop in 2008, as well. Also disappointing was women's-apparel chain store Coldwater Creek (CWTR Quote), which said it swung to a fourth-quarter loss on dwindling sales, compared with a year-earlier profit.

Shares of PetSmart sank 11.7%, and Coldwater plummeted 19.8%.

Urban Outfitters (URBN Quote), however, topped expectations with surging earnings. Same-store sales spiked 11% from last year. Still, shares eased by 2.9%.

Elsewhere, tax preparer H&R Block (HRB Quote) tacked on 3.4% after reporting that its fiscal third-quarter loss had narrowed from a year earlier thanks to subsiding costs from subprime-lending unit Option One, as well as rising revenue.

On the data side, the Labor Department said weekly initial jobless claims totaled 351,000, about 9,000 fewer than forecast. The prior week was revised up by 2,000 to 375,000.

Separately, pending home sales for January were unchanged from the previous month, according to the National Association of Realtors, while the Mortgage Bankers Association said that mortgage foreclosures in the U.S. hit a record high at the end of last year.

In another noteworthy development, the Federal Reserve reported homeowners' equity sinking to 47.9% last quarter in relation to mortgage debt -- the lowest ratio since the central bank began recording those numbers in 1945, according to reports. The Fed also revised data from last year to reflect second-quarter home equity slipping under the 50% mark, also for the first time since the end of World War II.

As for commodities, crude oil closed above the $105 a barrel mark for the first time, ending up 95 cents to $105.47. Earlier, it reached an intraday high of $105.97. Gold futures, however, were off $11.40 to settle at $977.10 an ounce.

Tthe U.S. dollar once again slid to a new low against the euro, this time at $1.5388, to extend its freefall over the past few days.

Treasury prices were climbing. The 10-year note was up 26/32 in price to yield 3.59%. The 30-year bond gained 16/32 in price, yielding 4.57%.

Overseas markets were mixed. In Asia, Tokyo's Nikkei 225 jumped 1.9%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed 1%. European bourses, however, sank in tandem with the U.S. market. London's FTSE 100 lost 1.5%, and Germany's Xetra Dax was off 1.4%. Both the Bank of England and the European Central Bank maintained their benchmark lending rates.


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