took over the market, and at the club's final meeting before winter break on Dec. 3, members discovered the value of their portfolio had dropped to $345,293.
With an essentially hands-off approach to the portfolio during winter break, how has the B.C. Investment Club's portfolio held up? Here's a look inside the club's first meeting of 2008 and how they plan to navigate the continuing choppy market with Interactive Brokers IBKR.
Monday, January 28: When the Market Gives Your Portfolio Lemons ...
As the club's co-directors of research Steve Regan and Tony Weldon presented during their market review, the stock market has not been generous to many investors over the past month and a half. Regan and Weldon highlighted such negative forces as poor winter holiday sales, fears of recession
and numerous corporate writedowns.
Nevertheless, the club's portfolio did outperform its benchmark
. "Our portfolio has suffered recently due to the overall downturn in the market", says club president Scott Atha, "but we continue to outperform the market. Last semester our portfolio was relatively flat, with a return of 0.33%, whereas the S&P 500 SPX had a return of -3.56%. We have been pleased with the relative performance of our portfolio, especially given the fact that we manage a long
-only portfolio".
As in previous years, during the winter break, nobody was watching the club's portfolio, which is heavily weighted towards financial stocks such as Bank of America BAC, JP Morgan JPM and Wachovia Bank WB. "Since that last meeting [of the fall semester]," says Atha, "the fund lost 6.8%, or $23,500." As of Monday, Jan. 28, the portfolio is worth $321,800. "Even so, the portfolio continues to solidly beat the S&P 500, which lost 11.31% during the same period."
China Watch: A NICE Growth Play |
as a long-term play."
USG closed Monday at $33.25, a loss of more than 10%.
, but as the old saying goes, they resolved to make lemonade.
Managers Ben Jordan and Anthony Vitiello came up with a creative solution: invest in a company that would profit from market volatility. Monday night, during their successful pitch, Jordan and Vitiello explained their reasoning for Interactive Brokers Group, a market maker
and broker
that specializes in options
, futures
and foreign currency
transactions.
Vitiello cites the following reasons for buying Interactive Brokers:
investors, who tend to trade more than the average investor and thus bring more revenue
to Interactive Brokers.
ratio is 0.606. vs. 0.79 for Knight Capital, 1.07 for Schwab and 0.88 for TD Ameritrade.
of Interactive Brokers, Jordan and Vitiello came up with a target price range of $36.70 to $42.42 per share, which would translate into a return of 16.7% to 34.8% from its Monday closing price of $33.34.
How did they come up with that target price range? "In order to estimate price targets for Interactive Brokers we performed a blended multiple
valuation," says Vitiello. "We broke the valuation into the firm's two major business units: brokerage and market making. We used PEG ratios as the valuation metric and at the end we weighted each side of the business based on each division's respective percentage of Interactive Brokers's earnings
."
strategies, such as options and futures. They plan on inviting alumni traders, who work at companies such as Lehman Brothers LEH and Goldman Sachs GS, to speak to the club about their professional hedging experiences.
Although most of the undergraduate members of the club are not finance majors, the goal of the club is to give all members a basic understanding of investment possibilities that go beyond the buying and selling stocks. A possible result would be to go beyond their historic "long only" strategy to include options and ETFs
, which would employ all the tools a modern portfolio manager uses to maximize profit while minimizing risk.