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Semiconductors

AMD Gears Up for Future Intel Wars

Alexei Oreskovic

07/26/07 - 06:51 PM EDT

SUNNYVALE, Calif. -- After appearing to have fallen behind in the microprocessor arms race, Advanced Micro Devices(AMD - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) finally offered a glimpse of its next generation of chips.

The company detailed a pair of new microprocessor cores under development that will position the company to address a broader swath of the electronics market and, AMD hopes, will give it an edge against arch-rival Intel(INTC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr).

The two chips, code-named Bulldozer and Bobcat, are still a couple of years away from commercial availability. But they represent the most-concrete evidence to date of how AMD intends to leverage its $5.4 billion acquisition of graphics chipmaker ATI to battle Intel going forward.

AMD also said its upcoming quad-core processor, dubbed Barcelona, will put the company back on an even playing field and help stabilize the falling prices that have eroded profit margins of late.

"Despite the very competitive environment, we continue to make progress," AMD Chief Sales and Marketing Officer Henri Richard told a crowd of analysts and journalists at the company's annual technology analyst day here.

"The fundamental components of us continuing to gain share are in place," Henri said.

Market share gains may be the least of AMD's worries, given its current state of affairs.

AMD has been battered by a combination of stale products, a fierce price war and dwindling cash flow. The company has lost more than $600 million in each of the past two quarters and has more than $5 billion of debt on its balance sheet.

Last week, CFO Bob Rivet told analysts that the company expected to get back to break-even by year's end.

On Thursday, however, the company backed off the target slightly, dubbing it an "aspirational goal."

Rivet acknowledged Thursday that reaching break-even by the end of the year was clearly aggressive. But with the company due to spend less on manufacturing in the coming quarters, and holding operating expenses flat, Rivet said AMD needed only a lift at the top line.

"We'll sell a hell of a lot more" in the second half of the year, Rivet said, citing forthcoming products such as the Barcelona quad-core processor and the Phenom desktop PC processor.

How the Barcelona chip fares when it is released in September is an open question.

While AMD will initially ship Barcelona chips that have lower clock speeds than Intel's current products, AMD proffered test results Thursday that showed its chip outperforming Intel's product in raw performance and performance per watt.

Insight64 analyst Nathan Brookwood said the so-called floating point test results are the most impressive he's seen for any chip at any clock speed.

But he noted that the test in question measured performance for scientific applications, rather than the general purpose tasks relevant to many corporations.

And Intel has a slew of new chips in the pipeline featuring smaller circuitry that could change the competitive landscape.

Meanwhile, Brookwood said the first glimpse of AMD's two new microprocessor cores filled an important gap in the company's so-called roadmap. "They're not just going to take iterations of their stuff and keep shrinking it," he said.

Bobcat and Bulldozer represent the first fundamentally new microarchitecture since AMD introduced its Opteron in 2003, and they will showcase the so-called Fusion technology that integrates graphics and computing capabilities on the same microprocessor core.

Bulldozer is designed for servers, desktops and notebooks and will improve performance per watt by up to two times, AMD said.

Bobcat will be targeted toward consumer electronic devices that require extreme power efficiency. AMD said the product is targeted for 2009 release; it will initially be available for digital televisions and will eventually spread to ultramobile PCs and other handheld gadgets.

Intel unveiled details about a similar product, dubbed Silverthorne, earlier this year.

"It's good to see things three or four years down the road," said Jim McGregor, an analyst at industry research firm InStat.

But AMD is coming off some tough quarters, McGregor noted, and has nothing besides Barcelona and Phenom to carry it through until Bobcat and Bulldozer.

"Intel got aggressive again," McGregor said. "Now AMD needs to get aggressive again."

Shares of AMD slumped along with most tech stocks Thursday, closing down 5.5% to $14.73.