Try Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS
Investing Opinion

Dykstra: Tee Up BEA

Lenny Dykstra

03/02/07 - 10:06 AM EST

With all the volatility we have experienced the last four days, I have decided to close out the week with a stock that has found its bottom.

At a recent $11.82, BEA Systems(BEAS) is trading near its 52-week low.

On the positive side, this company has a big buyback program in place and more than $1 billion in cash, and I believe it could be an attractive takeover target by a larger competitor. BEA remains a world leader in enterprise infrastructure software; customers use the Tuxedo, Web Logic and Aqua Logic products to reduce IT complexity, enhance existing resources, and speed the delivery of new services.

However, readers need to be aware that BEA didn't release earnings results for the fourth quarter because of an ongoing stock options review. The company has said that the outcome of that review will require changing the accounting of some option grants, which will hurt its results for certain periods.

BEA's software is deployed on top of an operating system and database in an enterprise server, and it serves as a platform technology for enterprise applications. BEA has expanded into product categories that take advantage of the features in the underlying application server. BEA has more than 15,000 customers, including the majority of the Fortune Global 500.

This looks like an ideal setup for a buy of in-the-money calls, and we are going to buy 10 of the Sept. 10s (BUCIB) at $2.45. The risk-to-reward ratio is about as good as it gets, meaning this is definitely a lock-and-load situation.

Real vs. Paper Gains

A core principle that any investor needs to understand is the distinction between the increase in value of an investment and a realized gain. As much as a stock or option position may increase in value, that gain is not realized until that stock is sold. Tuesday provided a perfect example of why it is necessary for investors not only to make prudent investment decisions but also to recognize gains. Tuesday saw many investors lose significant portions of their profits from the eight-month bullish run in a matter of minutes.

I believe my strategy for investing in deep-in-the-money calls accomplishes two critical goals for investors: limiting risk, while regularly locking in gains. Jeff Miller at SeekingAlpha critiques this investment style as "very active" because I choose "to sell quickly when the stock makes a small gain." I take a different approach.

I'm flattered that he has taken notice of my trading strategy. We agree on many points, but I offer four points in response to his comments.

  1. Options are very complicated, so for my column I prefer to keep it simple and lock in a set profit target.
  2. I buy deep-in-the-money, high-delta options with time to capture the profit. I look for proper entry levels -- i.e., support levels -- and I prefer buying calls that expire in four to six months because there is less decay to the time premium.
  3. It is my stock substitute to buying on margin, and I limit my loss to the option cost.
  4. There are many ways to trade successfully. Time horizon and attention to risk are both critical factors, so I buy time and use options as a stock substitute and margin alternatives.

As a baseball player, I made a living on working the count in my favor and taking what the pitcher gave me. Swinging for the fences is a baseball strategy that has its rewards. However, the risk is substantially higher than working the count deep and taking a walk or a single. My investing philosophy is no different; I take what the market gives me. When I can lock in $1,000 gain, I do not hesitate to do so, because just as singles add up in baseball, $1,000 gains add up in investing.

Time to Talk Sports

Grapefruit League games have begun, providing Floridians with something to do for the next month other than playing tennis and golf. For many fans, the exhibition baseball season is a rite of spring. Fresh-faced young ballplayers, often experiencing a taste of the big leagues for the first time, get to interact with veterans and fans in a unique manner. Devoid of the pressure of the regular season, the relatively relaxed atmosphere allows for a purer appreciation of the game, and the configuration of the parks, with the stands so close to the fields, provides a dynamic that is not available during the regular season.

Fans and players can talk after games, and fans can take pictures and get autographs from their stars. Understandably, many fans come to Florida to interact with the stars, but they often find that talking to the first-timers is quite rewarding. In addition to the novelty of the interaction, young players are more apt to spend time with the fans than the veterans are. Ultimately, you recognize as a player that the exhibition season, on several levels, embodies a greater familial sense than the regular season. On a certain level, with the final scores rendered essentially irrelevant, exhibition baseball is all about enjoying a day at the park.

While baseball is easing into its season, college hoops are heating up with the start of conference tournaments next week, culminating in Selection Sunday on March 11. Florida, last year's champion, is in a bit of a tailspin, with losses to LSU, Vanderbilt and Tennessee within the past week. Nonetheless, the Gators, who returned all five starters from last year's team, should be formidable in the tournament.

Similarly, just when Duke appeared to be peaking, they lost to Maryland, and the Terps seemingly clinched a NCAA berth with the victory. Fellow ACC powerhouse North Carolina, loaded with young talent, will be heard from in the tournament. The uncertainty surrounding the Tar Heels is whether a team so reliant on freshmen can hold up in the cauldron that is March Madness.

What about Texas A&M and its incredible ride this year? With its suffocating defense, the Aggies will be tough to beat when mouths get dry and shooting strokes lose their fluidity.

However, the potential Hollywood story in this year's NCAA tournament does not don black or white jerseys. No, they wear gray and have a legacy of perennial NCAA runs and a championship along the way. Alumni continue to create indelible memories in the NBA. Their legendary coach was as synonymous with his team as Rupp was with Kentucky, Wooden was with UCLA, and Smith was with North Carolina. And when he retired, the program actually struggled for awhile. Suddenly, NIT appearances took the place of NCAA accolades. The Mike Tyson of the Big East lost its bite. But, in a stunning example of symmetry, the legendary coach's namesake took the reins, and the team is arguably the hottest team in the country at this point. Adding to the deja vu, the namesake of an icon who starred for the coach's father is on the team's roster.

Of whom do I speak? The Georgetown Hoyas, coached by John Thompson III, with Patrick Ewing Jr. on the team. Can you imagine that Sports Illustrated cover if they win?

Most likely, athletes will continue to beget athletes, and coaches will continue to beget coaches. The Players Club wants former athletes to enjoy the fruits of their endeavors without any financial worries. To that end, guaranteed recurring cash flow will allow you, a la John Thompson (the father), to utilize the towel draped around your neck for the appropriate reason: to wipe the sweat from your brow as you live vicariously through your offspring!

Always remember: Life is journey; enjoy the ride!


Brokerage Partners