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Editor's Desk

Undeterred Bulls Carry Poll

David Morrow

12/04/06 - 03:03 PM EST
The bulls won't let up when it comes to TheStreet.com Real Money Barometer survey.

For the eighth week in a row, bullishness is the prevailing sentiment. The bulls also did it in impressive fashion, logging 1,101, or 42%, of the 2,640 votes cast. The bears copped 815 votes, or 31%, while neutral came in at 717 votes, or 27%.

In the sectors, precious metals was tapped as most likely to rise. Automobiles was seen as most likely to fall.

Last week there was concern about signs of slowing economic growth, coupled with falling bond yields and a weak dollar vs. the euro. The Institute for Supply Management survey of manufacturers came in at 49.5 (a reading below 50 is considered to signal an economic retraction).

On Monday, stocks seemed to have few concerns as the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 101 points, to 12,295; the Nasdaq Composite was surging 39 points, to 2452.65; and the S&P 500 was up almost 13 points to 1410.

Bank of New York(BK Quote) and Mellon Financial (MEL Quote) said they would merge in a $16.5 billion stock swap. The deal will form the world's biggest securities-processing and custodial bank.

On the not-so-good news front, Pfizer(PFE Quote) shares plunged Monday as investors reacted harshly to the company's decision to stop working on a cholesterol drug that had been viewed as the foundation for future.

Pfizer said Saturday night that it would halt development on torcetrapib because more deaths than expected occurred in a big clinical trial.

Oil prices were slipping below $63 a barrel Monday on expectations that cold weather blanketing the country will not last and that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will not trim production deeply enough to prop up prices.

Below are the complete poll results.

Date Bullish Bearish Neutral Week Ending
S&P % Change
Bullish
Sector
Bearish Sector
Dec. 4 1101 (42%) 815 (31%) 717 (27%) Precious Metals Automobiles
Nov. 27 408 (45%) 253 (28%) 235 (26%) -0.3% Precious Metals Homebuilding
Nov. 20 1194 (56%) 351 (17%) 570 (27%) - 0.02% Multiline Retail Integrated Oil
Nov. 13 563 (46%) 334 (27%) 328 (27%) + 1.5 Precious Metals Pharmaceuticals

Sector Total Votes Percentage
Aerospace and Defense 50 2%
Airlines 24 1%
Automobiles 17 1%
Beverages and Food Products 35 2%
Biotechnology 93 4%
Commercial Banks 64 2%
Computers and Peripherals 110 4%
Consumer Nondurables 49 2%
Energy Equipment & Services 274 10%
HMOs and Hospitals 93 4%
Homebuilding 119 5%
Insurance 24 1%
Integrated Oil 444 17%
Internet, Software Services 159 6%
Investment Bankers and Brokers 72 3%
Media 11 1%
Multiline Retail 74 3%
Pharmaceuticals 161 1%
Precious Metals 450 17%
Semis, Semi Equipment 70 3%
Telecom Equipment 45 2%
Tobacco and Alcohol 53 2%
Utilities 88 3%
Wireless Communications 43 2%
Source: RealMoney.com

Sector Total Votes Percentage
Aerospace and Defense 47 2%
Airlines 181 7%
Automobiles 565 22%
Beverages and Food Products 52 2%
Biotechnology 42 2%
Commercial Banks 85 3%
Computers and Peripherals 47 2%
Consumer Nondurables 98 4%
Energy Equipment & Services 36 1%
HMOs and Hospitals 43 2%
Homebuilding 383 15%
Insurance 20 1%
Integrated Oil 105 4%
Internet, Software Services 56 2%
Investment Bankers and Brokers 71 3%
Media 55 2%
Multiline Retail 167 6%
Pharmaceuticals 137 5%
Precious Metals 89 3%
Semis, Semi Equipment 146 6%
Telecom Equipment 58 2%
Tobacco and Alcohol 39 1%
Utilities 31 1%
Wireless Communications 56 2%
Source: RealMoney.com

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