BitTorrent Bubbles Up
Kevin Kelleher
11/30/06 - 02:48 PM EST
Finally, there is a start-up that just may become the next gigantic
tech IPO. I mean, on the scale of
eBay or
Amazon.com
(AMZN) in the 1990s or, more recently,
Google .
Don't laugh: It's
BitTorrent.
Yes, I know. There are plenty of obstacles between BitTorrent, the
maker of lightning-fast file-sharing software, and the public markets.
The software is seen as the tool of choice for those pesky music and
movie pirates, its not as intuitive to use as other peer-to-peer
programs, and, like
Napster before it, it risks being sued into
oblivion.
But BitTorrent has been quietly working during the past year to become more palatable to the mainstream. Above all, it's been working with major content companies to show its technology can help replenish their profits, rather than deplete them.
And with YouTube taken out of the running by Google and social
networking sites like Facebook starting to lose the youthful allure they
had even a few months ago, there aren't a lot of strong candidates left.
BitTorrent may be a dark horse, but if it can overcome the hurdles before
it, it's a horse that could deliver remarkable returns in short order.
On Wednesday, according to tech news blogs GigaOm and TechCrunch, BitTorrent
received $25 million in funding in a private investment round led by
Accel Partners (which has backed companies such as
Macromedia and
RealNetworks in the past). Neither the company nor its reported investors have made a formal announcement.
But BitTorrent did announce that it had reached licensing deals for
movies and television shows from the likes of
News Corp.'s
(NWS) 20th Century Fox,
Lions Gate Entertainment and
Viacom properties
such as Paramount Pictures and its Comedy Central, Nickelodeon and MTV
cable networks.
That news follows earlier licensing deals with
Time Warner's
(TWX) Warner Bros. Home Entertainment and several smaller studios.
It's easy to read about those licensing deals and be skeptical.
After all, the same studios have inked agreements with other
companies, notably Amazon and its undead Unbox offering, with little
impact. And Napster tried to negotiate with the big media companies
before it was shut down.
But much of BitTorrent's popularity is due to its ability to break
the download bottleneck. Rather than load a file from a single server to
any and all PCs that want it, BitTorrent's software divides up a file
so that users essentially download it from each other. Not only is
BitTorrent faster and less taxing on bandwidth resources, it's also
cheaper than conventional downloading.
So, if Internet users have taken to the grainy 10-minute videos on
YouTube, imagine how they'd feel about downloading high-quality,
full-length movies.
The other obstacle preventing widespread adoption of video
downloading is the restrictions placed on using them -- many can't be
played on a DVD player and some, unlike a standard DVD, expire after a
few viewings. It seems like BitTorrent may start off with similar
restrictions, but if consumers give in to common sense and object, this
will probably end soon enough.
As for the Napster analogy, I'd argue that BitTorrent is in some
ways the opposite of Napster. When Napster fell, the supposed lesson was
that its technology, in helping to spawn the free downloading of
copyrighted music, doomed its financial prospects.
But in retrospect, that was the smaller part of a bigger story. The
real reason Napster failed was that the record labels chose to stamp out
a technology that could have helped them drive up profits. They found a
gift horse, and smothered it.
Movie studios have had every chance to take BitTorrent to court, but
they haven't tried. Instead, they've taken on sites offering pirated
content and signed deals with BitTorrent. Maybe that's because, this
time around, they realize that blaming BitTorrent for piracy is like
blaming DVD disk manufacturers for pirated copies of Hollywood films
that are commonplace abroad.
The bigger obstacles facing BitTorrent aren't potential lawsuits,
but that many potential users still harbor misperceptions of what
BitTorrent can really do. Many in particular are tentative of allowing
others to use their Internet connections to upload movies onto their PCs.
Another barrier is that BitTorrent could be bought out by
a larger company first. It's always hard to read the mind of Google's
management, but they must be at least considering a BitTorrent buyout,
if for no other reason than it would completely sew up for them the
emerging market of online video.
But if BitTorrent can work out the kinks and make it public, it
could make current broadcasting even less relevant than it is now, and
be a boon for Internet service providers, online advertisers and storage
companies. It just might be that big.