Weekend Reading: Less Inflationary Heat
Paul Kedrosky
02/12/06 - 01:33 PM EST
Good Sunday morning. As always, here are some articles and papers worth reading. First, however, a look back at the week that just finished, and a look forward at the week ahead.
The markets continued their directionless dance. This week the major indices split the difference, with the
Dow gaining 1.2% and the
S&P 500 rising 0.23%, while the
Nasdaq shed 0.03%.
Click here for the weekly performance.
Looking ahead, it seems possible all three markets might go in the same direction. The weekend press offered mixed messages about Google, which will wash likely each other out. Lower oil and natural
gas prices should be a bigger factor, lessening some of the inflationary heat in the economy. That, in turn, should keep rates under control and increase the likelihood that we're near the end of the current tightening cycle.
Turning to the economic week ahead, the highlight is likely to be the first public econo-talk from new
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. On Wednesday he is scheduled to appear before the House
Financial Services Committee, with an encore Thursday in front of the Senate Banking Committee. Meanwhile, a bevy of economic reports is due out this week: January retail sales on Tuesday, the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for February on Friday, January housing starts on Thursday and the U.S. producer price index for January on Friday. Whew! With that schedule, Ben's going to have to work hard to get noticed.
Next week is another active one for fourth-quarter results. There are a bunch of retailers reporting, including
Office Depot (ODP Quote),
JC Penney (JCP Quote),
Target (TGT Quote), and
RadioShack (RSH Quote). We will also see reports from
Dell (DELL Quote) and
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ Quote). Hey, whatever happened to those PC companies anyway?
Finally, here are some articles and papers worth reading:
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- U.S.
prepares military blitz against Iran's nuclear sites. (Telegraph)
- Time magazine has a cover
profile of Google, plus an interview.
(Time)
- Google
grabs half of the booming search market. (Nielsen/Netratings)
- Google's
new Gmail for Domains looks like a shot across Microsoft's bow.
(Ars Technica)
- Eddie
Lampert is the Steve Jobs of the investing world. (Fortune)
- Carol Loomis on General Motors, arguing that the people who got the
company into its mess won't get it out. (Fortune)
- Microsoft
will spend one-billion dollars to increase its headquarters by
one-third: The headquarters syndrome at work? (Seattle Post-Intelligencer)
- Where
have all the tech bankers gone? (IDD)
- Barron's
calls a market top on Google, citing click fraud and valuation.
(Barron's)
- Child-centric
consumer electronics is the only hot place in the electronics
business (The New York Times)
- Amazon, not Google, is the most financially inscrutable company in
technology. (The New York Times)
- The
booming billion-dollar sleep market, and the companies benefiting
from it. (Forbes)
- The
GDP measure, like democracy, is crummy, but it's better than the
alternatives. (The Economist)
- Profile
of free-market economist Milton Friedman at 93. (San Francisco Chronicle)
- The
rise in uranium prices caught most investors by surprise, but can
it go further? (The Globe and Mail)
- A
possible Wal-mart move into banking has bankers all a-twitter
(The Washington Post)
- Bank
card re-issues may be linked to a security problem at Wal-Mart.
(eWeek)
- Research: A new
look at the "hot hand" phenomenon in fund management -- it
persists more than previously thought. (NBER)