Weekend Reading: Earnings Time
Paul Kedrosky
01/15/06 - 12:26 PM EST
Good Sunday morning. As always, here are some articles and papers
worth reading. First, however, a look back at the week that just
finished, and a look forward at the week ahead.
It was an indifferent week for the major markets, with all three
major indices up nominally or not at all. The
Dow ended the week
where it began it, and the
S&P 500 advanced 0.2%, and the
Nasdaq
was up 0.5%.
The Dow got a taste of
11,000, and then fell back somewhat. After the prior week's
standout gains, a less eventful second trading week in 2006 wasn't too
surprising. Nevertheless, optimism remains high that the year's early
advances will continue, with rate increases ending shortly, and
fourth-quarter corporate profits and guidance looking solid.
Turning to the economic week ahead, we will see data about
manufacturing health, unemployment, and housing starts, as
well as the December consumer price index, an important inflation
measure. The latter figure will be out Wednesday, and it will be
watched closely, as will the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, with its
information on current economic conditions.
Next week is active on the domestic earnings front. According to
Reuters, the consensus is for 14% overall earnings growth, and we will
see the first indications on things in the coming week, with a range
of companies reporting. There are a number of technology companies
reporting, including
Intel,
Yahoo,
Apple and
Advanced Micro Devices.
Also next week we have some major financial companies reporting,
including
Citigroup,
Merrill Lynch and
Wachovia. The other major report to
watch next week will come from General Electric.
Finally, here are some articles and papers worth reading.
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Is
Google headed for $2000 or $100? (Fortune)
The
post-Greenspan U.S. economy is much less healthy than typically
thought (Economist)
Can
a book really beat the market? No (Bloomberg)
Barron's
Roundtable is generally optimistic about equity prospects in 2006
(Barron's)
American
consumers are the biggest spenders on the planet, spending more
than Finland's GDP (AdAge)
The
Blu-Ray/HD standoff will freeze the DVD market and boost video on
demand (News.com)
Jim
Rogers vs. the Russian Harvard MBA -- an email transcript (DDO)
Apple's
iPod success has masked a decline in company profitability
(Forbes)
Is
Google "a religion posing as a company"? (Economist)
The
Economist updates its Big Mac Index, and China has the most
undervalued curency (Economist)
Bruce
Wassterstein feels misunderstood over his Time-Warner intentions
(N.Y. Times)
Flat-panel
display makers may be headed into another capacity-fuelled glut
(EE Times)
Books: Confessions
of a Wall Street Analyst is getting decent pre-release
reviews (Amazon)