Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: He's Got Games
TheStreet.com Staff
11/03/05 - 07:31 PM EST
Click here for an archive of Cramer's "Mad Money" recaps.
"Bad news can sometimes be good news," Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show Thursday, and he wants people to buy
Activision (ATVI Quote).
Activision announced earnings Wednesday and the company's outlook for the next six months is lousy, said Cramer. But, video game stocks are cyclical, so you need to buy at the bottom of the cycle, which is now, he said.
Take-Two Can't Play
Microsoft (MSFT Quote) will release its new Xbox at the end of the month, and
Sony(SNE Quote) and
Nintendo won't be far behind with their console offerings.
The lousy sales at Activision now are a sign that people are waiting and saving to buy new games for the new systems, said Cramer.
Cramer believes that the next video-game cycle will last three to four years, which is about how long it takes for the video-game companies to catch up with the new game consoles, he said. That means visibility.
Cramer prefers Activision to industry leader
Electronic Arts (ERTS Quote) because he sees consolidation coming for the video-game industry.
Activision is smaller than Electronic Arts and is more likely to be a takeover target, he said. It also has two highly anticipated games
Call of Duty II and
Quake IV. Finally, Cramer likes the fact that retailer
GameStop (GME Quote) is offering Activision games with all but one of its Xbox 360 packages.
Activision is not for everybody, though. The stock is volatile. It's the "ultimate schnitzel stock," said Cramer. So, buy a little now, and buy more on a pullback.
In response to a question about
Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO Quote), Cramer said the company had "disappointed for multiple quarters" and is "in the pantheon of bad." Stay away, he said.
Cramer is also not a fan of
Midway Games (MWY Quote).
Commenting on GameStop, Cramer said he loves the stock but will probably sell a little when the Xbox 360 launches at the end of November.
Mercury's Swift Kick
Mercury Interactive (MERQE Quote) "imploded" Wednesday, said Cramer when the CEO, CFO and general counsel all stepped down over alleged employee stock-option manipulation.
That's great news for competitor,
Keynote Systems (KEYN Quote), said Cramer.
Keynote tests Web sites for performance and analyzes how customers interface with shopping Web sites. That's a "huge, growing, early infancy business," said Cramer, as online retailing is in a major secular growth trend, he said.
Keynote has no debt and lots of cash. After subtracting cash from the stock price, the company is only valued around $5, said Cramer.
Cramer believes that Keynote is headed "a heck of a lot higher" in the next 18 months now that its competitor, Mercury Interactive, is in trouble.
Keynote is a small stock, though, so don't pay much more than Thursday's closing price of $12.34, he said. Try to buy it under $13, Cramer said.
Slow Going
MarketWatch senior columnist Herb Greenberg joined Cramer to talk about
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG Quote),
Hansen Natural (HANS Quote) and
CVS (CVS Quote).
Greenberg said Intuitive Surgical had gone up about 30% since he began voicing concerns, and at one point, he considered maybe he was wrong.
But, after doing some work, he remains convinced that growth will begin to slow, and some signs of a slowdown are already appearing, he said.
"Do you think that my show will still be on air by the time this thing slows?" asked Cramer, incredulously.
"I don't time when I write my stories," said Greenberg. "All I know is when this thing slows ... it's like some of those other stocks ... it will be down 50% overnight.
"I've talked to doctors. There is risk here," said Greenberg.
"Alright. So, we've got a little hair on it, maybe," said Cramer.
Cramer then turned the topic to this week's upgrade of Hansen by Citigroup.
Greenberg said Hansen was up several dollars each day leading up to the release of the Citigroup report.
"You're not saying [Citigroup] may have
leaked its 'buy!'" said Cramer, sarcastically.
Cramer then asked Greenberg about CVS's "monster quarter" reported Thursday.
"Relative to
Walgreen (WAG Quote), this thing is a piker," said Greenberg.
Greenberg added that although CVS's operating margin is just below Walgreen's, the sales growth is not there at CVS.
Cramer summed up the interview by saying despite the risks pointed out by Greenberg, Cramer remains bullish on all three stocks, at least for now.
ABBsolutely
Cramer is bullish on
ABB (ABB Quote), a Swiss power and automation technology company, because he believes that ABB will be the next big company to beat asbestos.
The stock closed Thursday at $7.83, but Cramer believes that it could go to $18 once the company gets its asbestos woes behind it.
That day may not be far off, said Cramer. ABB has already agreed to a "not too punitive" settlement with 95% of its asbestos claimants, he said.
But, just as Cramer doesn't speculate on takeovers if the fundamentals of the company aren't good, he also doesn't recommend speculating on legal outcomes unless the fundamentals of the company are good.
ABB is a worst-of-breed company, said Cramer, but it is getting its act together. The company just reported a good quarter and announced a big contract from Qatar.
The company has real earnings growth for the first time in a long time, he said.
Lightning Round
Bullish
Cramer was bullish on
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB Quote),
Wal-Mart (WMT Quote),
NGAS Resources (NGAS Quote),
Micron Technology (MU Quote),
M&T Bank (MTB Quote),
Amgen (AMGN Quote),
Genzyme (GENZ Quote),
Gilead Sciences (GILD Quote),
Genentech (DNA Quote),
Celgene (CELG Quote),
Labor Ready (LRW Quote),
Danaher (DHR Quote),
Emerson Electric (EMR Quote),
ITT Industries (ITT Quote),
Sears Holdings (SHLD Quote),
Yahoo! (YHOO Quote),
Inco (N Quote),
Falconbridge (FAL Quote),
Southern Copper (PCU Quote),
IHOP (IHP Quote),
ATI Technologies (ATYT Quote),
China Medical Technologies (CMED Quote),
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF Quote),
CarMax (KMX Quote),
Pike Electric (PEC Quote),
PetSmart (PETM Quote) and
PetroQuest Energy (PQUE Quote).
Bearish
Cramer was bearish on
Pfizer (PFE Quote),
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS Quote),
Geron (GERN Quote),
Hologic (HOLX Quote),
eBay (EBAY Quote) and
Wynn Resorts (WYNN Quote).