Rule No. 12: Cash Is for Winners
Jim Cramer
03/22/05 - 08:26 AM EST
Editor's note: Jim Cramer's new book, Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World
, is available in selected bookstores now. As a special bonus to RealMoney
readers, we will be running Cramer's "Twenty-Five Rules of Investing." For more about the new book and to order it, click here. Today, we present Cramer's twelfth rule of investing. Read more about his rules:
Pigs Get Slaughtered
It's OK to Pay the Taxes
Don't Buy All at Once
Buy Damaged Stocks
Diversify to Control Risk
Do Your Homework
Don't Panic
Buy Best-of-Breed
Defend Some Stocks
Don't Bet on Bad Stocks
Don't Own Too Many Names
The aversion to cash in this business breaks my heart. Sometimes cash is such a perfect investment that it drives me crazy how few people ever recommend it. Nah, they hate the market so they are only 95% long instead of 100%. Or, they think the market stinks, so they decide to short a few highfliers against their longs.
No, No, No!
You don't like any sectors? Sell everything and go into cash, don't short
Advanced Micro Devices(AMD Quote - Cramer on AMD - Stock Picks) vs.
Intel(INTC Quote - Cramer on INTC - Stock Picks) or
Nortel(NT Quote - Cramer on NT - Stock Picks) vs.
Lucent(LU Quote - Cramer on LU - Stock Picks).
You don't think the market's going to do anything? Don't try paired trades, like
General Motors(GM Quote - Cramer on GM - Stock Picks) vs.
Ford(F Quote - Cramer on F - Stock Picks), and don't buy defensive stocks like
Anheuser-Busch(BUD Quote - Cramer on BUD - Stock Picks) or
General Mills(GIS Quote - Cramer on GIS - Stock Picks). Just get out.
So many people never want to get out and go to cash, which is literally short-term Treasuries of the less-than-a-year variety. People start talking about how little cash earns -- although it sure earned more than a year ago. Or they say, "Can't be in cash, that's for losers."
But I say:
Cash is for winners.
A lot of this cash aversion stems from something that occurred a decade ago, when
(FMAGX Quote - Cramer on FMAGX - Stock Picks)Fidelity Magellan underperformed because it had too much cash. As a result of the weak performance, the manager was fired! But
no one ever seems to get fired for bad stock-picking. The takeaway in this game ever since that high-profile firing was: Don't dare get caught with too much cash. That's why you see and hear all of these fund managers who have lukewarm views walking around with massively long-biased portfolios.
I grew up in a different time. I only shorted when I had an edge -- I can't short at all right now by contract, but back when I could, I didn't short just for the sake of having some shorts on against longs. I don't care about not having enough exposure; I care about losing money!
If I were you and I didn't like the market or didn't have anything that compelling to buy -- as defined by a willingness to buy it down if the stock keeps going lower -- I would go with cash. It's never wrong when you don't like the tape or when you can't find anything that truly makes sense for you.