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RealMoney.com: The Teleconomist
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A Bubble Is a Bubble
Page 2

The Trojan Horse

This scenario was clearly unsustainable, and eventually the lack of profits and the realization that all these Internet companies would never come close to justifying their valuations forced public and private investors alike to quit funding the plans. And valuations fell.



And more funding dried up.

And valuations fell further, and fundamentals began to collapse beyond the Internet because all those great fundamentals were built upon bubbled funding. And so valuations fell further and the whole bubble popped. (I'd note that the teleconomy underwent a very similar bubble that also had to be unwound.)

One of the reasons I remain bullish about both the Internet, the companies that supply into it, and the teleconomy is that things are no longer built upon those unsustainable and bubbled companies. As James noted, there were some winners to be had back then, and many of the winners have been borne out and new companies -- like Google (GOOG - commentary - Cramer's Take) -- are rightly tapping the public market to raise capital, and big ones -- like Yahoo! (YHOO - commentary - Cramer's Take) and eBay (EBAY - commentary - Cramer's Take) -- use cash flow from operations to fund their growth and spending. What a concept!

My favorite saying is a derivative of Aristotle's "A is A" rule -- it is what it is. And in this case, the bubble was what it was -- a bubble.

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The Teleconomist
Apple Holders Bask in 'Halo' Effect
1/13/2005 12:11 PM EST
The stock's poised for a huge 2005 as the 'halo' effect came into clear play in last night's report.



At time of publication, the firm in which Willard is a partner was long Intel, Sun and Google, although positions can change at any time and without notice.

Cody Willard is a partner in a buy-side firm and a contributor to TheStreet.com's RealMoney. He also produces a premium product for TheStreet.com called The Telecom Connection and is the founder of Teleconomics.com. The firm in which Willard is a partner may, from time to time, have long or short positions in, or buy or sell the securities, or derivatives thereof, of companies mentioned in his columns. None of the information in this column constitutes, or is intended to constitute, a recommendation by Willard of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by Willard that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. Willard appreciates your feedback and invites you to send it to cwillard@thestreet.com.

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