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RealMoney.com: The Swing Shift
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Some Ugly Ducklings That Could Become Swans

By Alan Farley
RealMoney.com Contributor

4/4/2002 12:22 PM EST
 



What do fairy tales have in common with market opportunity? Let's see if these examples give you a clue. In The Tortoise and The Hare, we discover "slow and steady" reaches the goal more quickly than "fast and furious." In The Ugly Duckling, we're reminded beauty is only skin-deep, while true character lies deep within. OK, I think you get the picture. The Brothers Grimm knew the secrets of stock-picking better than most market analysts.

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Discouraged? Try Looking Away From the Usual Suspects

It's time to step back and stop putting those poison apples into your long-term portfolios. Plug your ears to the tech sirens and spend more time with the market's ugly ducklings. Where do you start? Just wave your magic wand and conjure up a few sleeping beauties on the weekly charts.



Source: TC2000

Hospitals are unpleasant to think about most of the time. But what if you could actually make money with them? Top provider HCA (HCA - commentary - Cramer's Take) rallied to its 1997 high last year and pulled back. HCA based for a few months and began a fresh run toward the old highs. It now appears the stock may break through a multiyear cup and handle pattern, and head for much higher prices.



Source: TC2000

American telecommunication providers are caught in the worst bear market in their history. But foreign carriers still show excellent buying opportunities. Just look at Telefonos de Mexico (TMX - commentary - Cramer's Take). This highly liquid stock is at an all-time high after a strong move off the September lows. Because TMX just broke above multiyear resistance to reach current price levels, this rally could continue for some time.



Source: TC2000

Not all utilities face the wrath of accountants and the Securities and Exchange Commission. And some even remind us of the good old days, when the sector was a safe haven. Philadelphia Suburban (PSC - commentary - Cramer's Take) is a water utility with an excellent price chart. It's doubled in price since the turn of the century, and now sits at an all-time high. The stock has drawn a bullish ascending triangle in recent months. If this pattern breaks the upside, PSC should be able to continue its run for a few more years.



Source: TC2000

You may not have heard of Ecolab (ECL - commentary - Cramer's Take) but you can see its effects whenever you visit a public restroom. This provider of heavy-duty cleaning products just broke above that three-year rectangle congestion. The stock is overextended right now and could pull back soon. But this decline may offer a buying opportunity that lets you clean up on the stock when the rally continues.



Source: TC2000

Playing with penny stocks can be dangerous to your pocketbook. But it's hard to avoid, with many Internet stocks down 95% to 99% since the bubble top. So if you want to trade the stock babies, make sure they're liquid and in a strong uptrend. Net directory LookSmart (LOOK - commentary - Cramer's Take) fulfills both of these requirements. It's rallied tenfold out of penny status in a move that would look great, if it weren't for the massive decline that preceded it.



Source: TC2000

Why trade individual stocks at all? Some NYSE closed-end funds are producing excellent returns. Just look at the performance of the Templeton Russia Fund. The chart has more in common with a growth stock than a trading tortoise. But if the Russian bear keeps on recovering, market bulls may have the last laugh.







Alan Farley is a professional trader and author of The Master Swing Trader. Farley also runs a Web site called HardRightEdge.com, an online resource for trading education, technical analysis and short-term investment strategies. At the time of publication, Farley had no positions in any stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Farley appreciates your feedback and invites you to send it to Alan.Farley@TheStreet.com. And click here to sign up for Farley's premium subscription product, The Daily Swing Trade, brought to you exclusively by TheStreet.com.
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