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RealMoney.com: Rev Shark Blog
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Profit-Taking Replaces Santa

By Rev Shark
RealMoney.com Contributor

1/5/2009 4:24 PM EST
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After the Santa Claus rally over the last three trading days, we were due for some profit-taking. It hit today but overall it was fairly mild. Breadth on the Nasdaq was just slightly negative and energy and commodity stocks continued to be chased higher. Financials were weak today and JPMorgan (JPM - commentary - Cramer's Take) in particular looks precarious, but overall it wasn't bad action.

 
 
The question we have to ponder at this point is whether the end of seasonal positives are going to cause some flipping and more aggressive selling. We had a big run and there are some recent gains to protect. This was a fairly classic end-of-the-year run and traders were obviously hungry for this type of action, but one thing we learned last year was to take profits when we have them.

We still have solid technical setups for the major indices in the intermediate term, but we are extended shorter term and the test will be how we act on a pullback. Are the buyers who missed out on the recent move going to jump in on weakness or will selling accelerate? Is the upcoming earnings season going to throw some cold water on the mood or will investors be buying the bad news?

I suspect the bears are going to start looking harder for some short entries here, but the charts hold some promise on pullbacks to support levels. The bulls have the advantage, but lots of folks are going to be looking to cut back on longs here very soon.

Have a good evening. I'll see you tomorrow.

At the time of publication, De Porre had no positions in the stock mentioned.






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James "Rev Shark" DePorre is the author of Invest Like a Shark: How a Deaf Guy with No Job and Limited Capital made a Fortune Investing in the Stock Market. He is founder and CEO of Shark Asset Management, an investment management firm, and he also operates sharkinvesting.com, an interactive online community that serves and educates active investors. DePorre holds business and law degrees from the University of Michigan, is a member of the Michigan Bar Association and a former tax attorney and CPA. He lives in Anna Maria Island, Fla., with his wife and two children. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Rev Shark appreciates your feedback; click here.


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