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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Standing Firm but Alone on Housing

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

11/6/2009 6:53 AM EST
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Lots of things are coming together for housing, but nobody seems to care. We had Wells Fargo (WFC - commentary - Trade Now) the other day offer attractive interest-only mortgage loans to those in trouble, a bet that eventually housing will go higher. We had Fannie Mae (FNM - commentary - Trade Now) allow people in trouble to rent to stay in their homes, and the government is going to extend the tax credit for homebuyers and broaden it. Plus, mortgage rates went under 5% again.

But nobody cared. No one.

All of those housing bears that cited and recited every single piece of negative housing data any time it came up, all of those who touted the Amherst report on shadow inventory, or those who pooh-poohed me when I said that housing was done going down -- the numbers indicate I am right but no one pays attention to positive numbers -- simply can't even put these stories together and realize that they change the inventory situation dramatically.

Why is this? Why could we get so much important news about housing and have it ignored, yet there was a virtual countdown daily by reporters about the expiration of the credit?

The other night on my show I postulated that the bears were in a "hear no good" mode. I think these amazing decisions, which will all keep the excess inventory from hitting the market and thereby destabilizing prices, coupled with the inability or unwillingness of the homebuilders to build new homes, makes the housing case so strong that you can bet on the banks for their next leg upward.

However, I am totally alone on this.

So listen to me at your own peril -- because you'll also hear the opposite of what I am saying, literally on a daily basis.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Wells Fargo.


Special note from Jim: You can learn my time-tested ways to trade smart, even in this market. All my latest thinking is in my brand-new book, Getting Back to Even, which I'll send to you as part of a special promotion when you sign up for my Action Alerts PLUS service for a limited time. So if you sign up now, you'll get to see how I'm playing these stocks in my portfolio today, plus, I'll teach you how you can play these stocks to help your portfolio get back to even.

Cramer's Upcoming Book Signings

Tuesday, Nov. 17, 7 p.m. Barnes & Noble, Manhattan (33 East 17th St.)





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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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