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The "deepness" of any sector is, of course, an illusion if you actually trade, but if you don't trade you are tempted to attribute anything to the rise and fall of a sector except manipulation, because manipulation means common-sense margin regulation, which cuts down on fees and therefore ruins the business. No one ever allows a cut in fees -- too much money at stake, too many politicians that can be easily bought, too many agency regulators that can easily be captured. Manipulation's just part of the game -- a sanctioned part. But even I, a seasoned realist who is willing to show that manipulation -- legal manipulation, as all manipulation is with these non-rules we have -- was taken aback by the ease with which a single trader could move up oil on a $10 million investment. What a farce. This guy caused the world to wonder whether gasoline was going over $3 for the July 4 weekend. This guy determined the fortunes of the airline industry. This guy caused people to believe that the consumer-led recovery would "derail" because of higher oil prices. He revealed how fraudulent this commodities market is. (Caveats to all of the usual commodity trading apologists: Of course you are right and my eyes are lying to me again). It is a great mystery to me why the big oil companies don't sell oil through futures for later delivery when they see these spikes. But maybe they are just as confused or maybe they aren't producing enough to take advantage of the spikes. Whatever. I can only imagine how stupid they feel that they have to be held to this silly little market and how much better off we would be without it. (Usual caveats: Of course we need to be able to trade anything to be able to hedge it, another canard that means more commissions and more fees).
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