![]() |
We've got a battle royal going on in Netflix (NFLX - commentary - Cramer's Take) , the company on the Nasdaq that may have the single best momentum of any entity, especially since the slowdown of Research In Motion (RIMM - commentary - Cramer's Take) and the possible ad slowdown for Google (GOOG - commentary - Cramer's Take) .
Netflix is a shrewd operator that has taken on and beaten Blockbuster (BBI - commentary - Cramer's Take) , Wal-Mart (WMT - commentary - Cramer's Take) and even Amazon (AMZN - commentary - Cramer's Take) , which is the greatest marketing machine of our lifetime. The growth, as even the bears admit, is accelerating, and the recent deal with Microsoft (MSFT - commentary - Cramer's Take) Xbox 360 and TiVo (TIVO - commentary - Cramer's Take) just make the situation even more robust for the company. The streaming Xbox service, just introduced two months ago, is on fire. Estimates, most importantly, are too low. I wish I had more companies that I can say that about. Actually, it is the only company that I can say that about. But it has also attracted a tremendous bear following because of its huge multiple, an average of 22 times next year's earnings. That's too large for some of the analysts who write about the stock. I have written and addressed this tug-of-war here and on "Mad Money." Today a new analyst is heard from, Nat Schindler, from Bank of America/Merrill who starts coverage with an underperform. What's curious about the sell recommendation is that even Schindler is saying "near term Street estimate too low," but he quickly adds "but long-term too high." The crux of the issue: The new streaming service through Xbox 360 is coming in at the low-end of pricing and will have more churn, which means that margins could ultimately be going down.
Go to NEXT PAGE
Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here. TheStreet.com has a revenue-sharing relationship with Amazon.com under which it receives a portion of the revenue from Amazon.com purchases by customers directed there from TheStreet.com. Brokerage Partners
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||