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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Hedgies Caused the Capital Destruction in Natural Gas

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

1/5/2009 2:30 PM EST
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How long natural gas were these hedge funds? What were they thinking? What kinds of bets were being made?

I look at Anadarko (APC - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Devon (DVN - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Cabot (COG - commentary - Cramer's Take) and I have to laugh: These stocks were trading as if nat gas was going to $4. They were trading as if liquidation value was upon us.

Of course, now we see that the executives, one after another who came on my show, were right -- the valuations were preposterous at their lows. I struggle to believe we will see them again.

It is a head-scratching moment that one group could so captivate so many hedge funds, even more than the fertilizers, which are back on a tear (I like Terra Nitrogen (TNH - commentary - Cramer's Take)). I have often wondered if they drank their own Kool-Aid. The Pickens plan, which was the effort to get cars powered by natural gas, isn't talked about much anymore. Congress just didn't like it. Carbons are finished as even a bridge fuel in this country, given the Democratic hatred of the fuel, with Obama focusing on ethanol anyway (hence Deere (DE - commentary - Cramer's Take), Mosaic (MOS - commentary - Cramer's Take), etc. Bob Marcin's right.)

But the destruction of so much capital, the margining of this group, was just so painful that very few managers could survive the wreckage. I know we couldn't in Action Alerts PLUS, and I am glad we sold when we did.

I am also not excluding the execs from being margined out: Chesapeake (CHK - commentary - Cramer's Take) boss Aubrey McClendon is the unfortunate poster boy.

In retrospect, it looks like natural-gas-powered cars, something I so passionately believed in as a thesis, was "over believed in." Plus, we didn't get any takeovers when the stocks were lower. The whole thing was just wacky, and once again, a testament to a year where your fellow shareholders -- not the fundamentals -- were your enemy. Sure, nat gas plummeted, but here it is around $6, and that's plenty profitable for many of the players.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Deere






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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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