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The fundamentals at American Express (AXP - commentary - Cramer's Take) were sound.
When American Express reported its upside surprise, the shorts scrambled and covered. (By the way, Doug Kass was long and then sold and shorted AXP, paying for 10 lifetime subs for RealMoney.) Why not? The company looked like it could weather any storm. Now we know that without a deposit base, it needed federal intervention because of the "unusual and exigent circumstances." If the activity in Morgan Stanley (MS - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Goldman Sachs (GS - commentary - Cramer's Take) after the unusual and exigent circumstances brought them to the Fed is any indicator, you would do well to sell any bounce that AXP can generate. Here's my take on AXP. Let it come in. Wait until you can figure out the franchise value of the card, and then you might have a trade, because the brand name is worth a great deal. But my prediction is that you will have to do a whole lot of waiting, because this 3% yielder has to go down quite a bit before it hits terra firma, which I figure might be the accidentally high yield of 4%. In other words, stay away. At the time of publication, Cramer was long Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
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