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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Tale of a Bullish Tape

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

8/13/2008 4:00 PM EDT
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We've got a tale of a bullish tape, and I want to share it.

 
First, the endless downgrades of the brokerage industry, particularly Goldman Sachs (GS - commentary - Cramer's Take) seems to have lost its impact as Goldman bounced off the $162 mark and flew up.

Let me just say for the record that the negative groupthink on Goldman has gotten so thick that if, per chance, Goldman does anywhere near the numbers out there now, you could catch a great return. Also, the notion that Goldman is somehow deeply wedded to the equities market hasn't been right for ages, so the estimate cuts may not incorporate other, better things that are occurring.

The JPMorgan (JPM - commentary - Cramer's Take) analogy may, alas, not be analogous. JPMorgan is still unwinding the Bear Stearns portfolio, and it isn't so hot. Remember that the brokerage stocks bottom when everyone has cut estimates -- and we sure have seen that happen. If you haven't cut them, buy now; you are talking total case of the "me to" effect.

Second tale: Macy's (M - commentary - Cramer's Take). Retail so wants to go higher here even if it shouldn't, and nothing is more emblematic of that than the negative things that Macy's had to say and how little it damaged the stock, which opened down and then rallied, despite an increase in oil!

Third tale: Toll Brothers (TOL - commentary - Cramer's Take). Initially the market didn't recognize at all how good Bob Toll's comments were and the stock got hit. The reversal is a loud and clear statement that things are getting better, not worse, in housing.

All three are defining this tape today, and defining it bullishly.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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