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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Sorry, Bears, We Have Already Seen the Bottom

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

7/31/2008 10:33 AM EDT
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The bottom. What does it mean? It means that every time we get a big decline, you have to buy it, because we are not going to take out the July 15 low.

 
What caused this selloff: high oil and low housing prices. I now think we are range-bound in oil, and I think that housing prices are bottoming, because the worst-hit areas have bottomed -- this is just empirical data coming from the excellent real estate work I read every day on Seeking Alpha, which has done a terrific job at this.

The financials? Merrill Lynch (MER - commentary - Cramer's Take) showed that you can get out of the bad paper without going out of business. Wachovia (WB - commentary - Cramer's Take) will show us how to split into good and bad banks, a la Mellon in the 1990s. Citigroup (C - commentary - Cramer's Take) will make it. The housing legislation played right into the hands of Bank of America (BAC - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Wells Fargo (WFC - commentary - Cramer's Take) and gives them a way to offload their bad loans to the FHA. Fannie Mae (FNM - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Freddie Mac (FRE - commentary - Cramer's Take) will be saved.

I am finding disbelief that the July 15 selloff marked the bottom. Fifty percent of the people are bears, 30% bulls.

Sorry.

Again, a bottom is not a new bull market. A bottom is what we won't take out.

I think we won't take out the July 15 low.

That's what I am calling.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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