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Nice to see the good old-fashioned bull markets back. It's funny what happens when the oil market percolates. You get that fabulous umbrella that highlights the longer-term themes: agriculture, infrastructure (oil infra, not muni infra), oil service and minerals. The move also confounds all of the doomsayers because surely the commodities can't be that strong if we are going into a recession.
Far be it from me to say that oil isn't done as a theme. I have been switching around my oil exposure for my Action Alerts PLUS charitable trust, going toward oil infra -- Foster Wheeler (FWLT - commentary - Cramer's Take) -- and away from the pure drillers, but when we get to $100 oil they will all work. This market is not about anything other than a tug of war right now among the L/U and Vs. Let me explain: the sharp recovery -- that's the V, which has housing; the slower recovery -- that's the Us -- and the no recovery but no further downs -- the Ls. Today's a U day so it allows old themes to resurface because the economy is not so weak as to kill Exxon (XOM - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Deere (DE - commentary - Cramer's Take) or Foster Wheeler and Freeport (FCX - commentary - Cramer's Take). I think every time we get one of these days the "we have bottomed" crew comes out. I think we are just going to be hanging around bouncing for a while, being dinged by failures, and boosted by when things get too negative as we did last week. Nothing more. Don't forget, it is options expiration week, so anything can happen, and right now the anything is a rally in cyclicals that has not proven sustainable since July. Random musings: Still can't believe I can read Vince Farrell here! Amazing. At the time of publication, Cramer was long Freeport-McMoRan and Foster Wheeler.
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