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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Fed, Banking Hinges on MBI

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

12/20/2007 11:05 AM EST
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So, Fed, how do you feel about the prospect that $100 billion in residential mortgage backed instruments that you thought were AAA-quality because of insurance are now worth a fraction of that, given the defaults we are seeing?

 


So Fed, what do you think of the fact that the bulwark that protects Washington Mutual (WM - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Citigroup (C - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Countrywide (CFC - commentary - Cramer's Take) from the reaper -- insurance -- is about to unravel?

Or are you too busy, Fed? Are you too busy, Andy Lacker, worried about the price of a Big Mac and fries and thinking that you can get that price of food down without creating a housing depression that could destroy the current banking system because there is no net interest margin that allows them to rebuild book value?

Are you too focused on the dollar, Fed people, that you don't realize that the monoline insurers often insure each other, so if MBIA (MBI - commentary - Cramer's Take) loses, they all lose and the banks will then have to mark their inventory down to realistic numbers, which will cause immediate capital shortages?

Do you, Bill Poole, know how the monolines work and how the residential mortgage-backed securities tranche system works and how the insurance is the linchpin that is about to be pulled?

Do you, New York Fed, with all of your nifty $20 billion auctions, realize that there are another 20 of these that need to be done and if you just lower the discount window to 50 basis points below the fed funds rate, you can forestall all of what is about to happen to banking?

Or are you too busy thinking that you can drive the price of gasoline down with higher interest rates?

I am aghast that this is happening, this fast-motion unraveling in the name of caution.

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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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