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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Stocks to Bet on Ahead of the Fed

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

9/17/2007 12:37 PM EDT
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We are getting some really telling action ahead of the Fed meeting.



For example, the rally in Procter (PG - commentary - Cramer's Take) is entirely related to people believing the Fed either won't cut or won't cut enough. It is the recession stock among the soft goods.

Then there is the rally in the AT&T (T - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Altria (MO - commentary - Cramer's Take) contingent. This is the "no cut or 50 basis-point cut" group speaking up. The dividends in this group look very comely on a 50 basis-point cut, and these stocks do great if the Fed does nothing.

Finally, there is the homebuilder stabilization/rally, and that's the textbook speaking: You buy the homebuilders once the Fed starts cutting.

Let me give you two others ideas that could fit and make you money but that people are not focused on: Vodafone (VOD - commentary - Cramer's Take) for telco and Unilever (UN - commentary - Cramer's Take) for P&G. Both have better yields than their cohorts and both have better non-U.S. growth paths.

As for homebuilders, if you want to roll the dice I'd go with Hovnanian (HOV - commentary - Cramer's Take) because of its big short position. But if you want a company that can last through the cutting, because the first four cuts won't mean much to the actual businesses, I'd pick Toll (TOL - commentary - Cramer's Take). And for the best housing play, I'd pick Wachovia (WB - commentary - Cramer's Take) because it has a giant mortgage business and a great dividend.

Those are all "will work" ahead of different scenarios and I wouldn't hesitate to do any of them today and tomorrow.

Random musings: Thank heavens the broker stocks are going down. I was beginning to regard them a potential catastrophes ahead of their earnings. ... Don't forget Adobe (ADBE - commentary - Cramer's Take) tonight; I like that one very much.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Altria.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order his book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

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