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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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The Trouble With Takeover Speculation

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

1/3/2007 10:20 AM EST
Click here for more stories by Jim Cramer
 

Nabors (NBR - commentary - Cramer's Take) shows you the problem with speculating on buyouts when the fundies fall.



Here's a company that I truly believed in for many years because CEO Gene Isenberg has been remarkably good at developing the business from a small driller to a dominant land driller.

Ouch, though. The land-drilling business, both in the U.S. and Canada, where Nabors dominates, has turned just awful. That means, no matter how good Nabors does its job, the stock's fundamentals just don't add up.

So today, on the forecast cut, those who were betting LBO just a month ago through calls and common, when the stock spiked to $34 and a half, will suck tailpipes.

If you don't have good fundies, you cannot speculate on takeovers. That's the rule.

Period.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.






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As originally published, this story contained an error. Please see Corrections and Clarifications.

Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order his book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

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