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RealMoney.com: James J. Cramer
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Exit Trends Fast -- Except Energy

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

10/8/2004 2:51 PM EDT
 
 Market Analysis
  • After a trend goes on for a couple of weeks and people jump on it, you've got to get off it, pronto.
  • Don't outthink this market. One area works: energy.
  • The others, as far as I am concerned, are strictly short squeezes.



The only thing that's working in this market is that after a trend goes on for a couple of weeks and people jump on it, you've got to get off it, pronto. We had a couple of good weeks there, really good weeks, and things looked like they were A-OK.

Now, though, because we've moved up so much, even great quarters like General Electric's (GE - commentary - Cramer's Take) don't resonate with this crowd. And that was a great quarter, regardless of whether I receive a paycheck from the peacock or not.

Tough to get traction here ex-resources. But let me give you some good news about resources. I just spoke in front of 1,000 people, chiefly about oil stocks, and I was kind of mesmerized after that. Not only did no one in the crowd -- rich marketing people -- own any of the oil stocks, but all of them to a woman said that they already had missed the move.

Oh man! Talk about a buy signal. No one owns, everyone's missed it.

That's a recipe for still buying on any weakness, even the minor-league weakness that we see today.

I don't want to outthink this market. One area works: energy. The others, as far as I am concerned, are strictly short squeezes.

Random musings: Hope you are getting ready for the Financial Fair. I now am going to drop back on talking about it a bit because I have vowed to talk individually to everyone who attends, and I think that if we get too many people, I am going to be there until midnight!

RealMoney Barometer Poll

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2 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move up in the coming week?
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General Electric owns CNBC, for which Cramer is a featured commentator.

James J. Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS by clicking here. While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column to jjcletters@thestreet.com. Listen to Cramer's RealMoney Radio show on your computer; just click here. Click here to buy Cramer's latest book, "You Got Screwed!" Click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict."

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