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Stock-Picking
So if the "better choice" goes down 8%, are you automatically going to buy what you previously thought was second-best? I sure hope not; remember, you've got to check your first-choice stock's risk profile, put its decline in context and be aware of the possibility that it's at bottom. Tailor Your StrategyI'm not saying that stop orders should be avoided; quite the opposite. Stop orders can be very useful, if you understand the limitations of this type of exit strategy and don't use them in an arbitrary manner. I am all for having exit strategies. Just tailor each exit strategy to the specifics of each stock; a utility stock should have a different exit strategy from a biotech stock. Also, know the reason you want to sell each stock you hold; that should be factored in to your process. For example, if you buy a stock because it is a proxy for a foreign country but it fails to correlate with that country, you probably want to sell. Or if you want a brokerage stock, you go through the process of narrowing down the field of possibilities to what you believe is the better choice. If your first choice proves wrong (and you've of course determined during your selection process what would make it "wrong"), it behooves you to sell and switch to your "second choice," or even to switch sectors. The possibilities are endless. If you're going to manage your own portfolio, you need to be willing to adapt the manner in which you take defensive action.
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At the time of publication, Nusbaum had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this column, although positions may change at any time.Roger Nusbaum is a portfolio manager with Your Source Financial of Phoenix, and the author of Random Roger's Big Picture Blog. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Nusbaum appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.
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