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Editor's note: This is Part 1 of Michael Brush's look at some of the bears' top stocks for 2007.
To state my bull case, I believe stocks could advance 10% next year because of the following factors:
To round up some bears, I checked with Mark Hulbert at Hulbert Financial Digest, which ranks investment newsletters. The best of these unsung market heroes regularly turn in market-beating returns and offer tips on how you can do the same for just a few hundred dollars a year. At least two chart-topping newsletter writers with great long-term records are currently bears: Ruff Times editor Howard Ruff and Outstanding Investments editor Justice Litle. Here's a quick look at some of their best picks for 2007 -- which also happen to fit in with my bullish-scenario themes such as continued high energy prices, a declining dollar and strong emerging markets. Outstanding InvestmentsLitle identifies major economic and social trends around the globe. Then he finds stocks that will benefit. "Most of our picks are tied into major sea changes that are unfolding over a long period of time," says Litle. Outstanding Investments is up 36.9% a year on average over the past five years, according to Hulbert Financial Digest. Litle's market call: He thinks that the odds of recession in the U.S. next year are high and that the consumer could weaken as the housing bubble continues to deflate. He's wary of the U.S. markets. In contrast, he sees "surprising strength" in developing-world economies -- one of the macro themes he's betting on for 2007. Other big-picture themes he's playing include:
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At the time of publication, Brush was short Chesapeake Energy puts, although positions may change at any time. Brush is an award-winning New York-based financial writer. In addition to writing for RealMoney, he has a weekly market column on MSN Money called Company Focus, and a column called Insiders Corner at InvestorIdeas.com. Brush has covered business and investing for The New York Times, Money magazine and the Economist Group. He studied at Columbia Business School in the Knight-Bagehot Fellowship program and the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. He is the author of Lessons From the Front Line, a book that offers insights on investing and the markets based on the experiences of professional money managers. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Brush appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.
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