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A Chance to Reload on Smith & Wesson

By Jonathan Moreland
RealMoney.com Contributor

9/22/2005 1:30 PM EDT
 
 Smith & Wesson (SWB:Amex) BULLISH
Price: $5.57  |  52-Week Range: $1.38-$6.96
  • Its new 460XVR revolver has generated a backlog of orders.
  • The firm is aggressively launching its new Military & Police Pistol series.
  • Insiders have recently bought more than $450,000 worth of the company's shares.
Position: Long

What a difference a few months makes.



It was pretty lonely following Smith & Wesson (SWB - commentary - Cramer's Take) when I first put a buy on it in May, in a call that was contrary to the maestro of Mad Money. However, the stock soon went from under-followed to over-hyped, and I recommended taking profits in early August, when Smith & Wesson fetched $6.

Well, the stock became a buy again a couple of weeks ago. With SWB solidly under $5, it seemed that the hype was gone, and the stock again offered a reasonable entry point to bet on the gun maker's continuing turnaround. Monday's fresh round of insider buying only makes me feel better about the upgrade, as it eased my worries over a near-term trading risk.

That risk involved Smith & Wesson's recent share offering. Shares traded very poorly last week leading up to the release of its financial results for the first quarter (ended July 31). The displeasure of some investors regarding the company's just-completed PIPE, or private investment in public equity, offering was palpable.

Fortunately, the quarter came in just fine. The gun maker posted revenue of $32.6 million and EPS of 7 cents. The top-line figure represented a perfectly good 14.4% year-over-year increase. EPS was helped by a one-time gain, but excluding extraordinary items, the firm met expectations.

Poised to Go on the Offensive

The better news was that management expressed optimism going forward. Having restructured finances and invested in production efficiencies, Smith & Wesson is in much better shape to go on the offensive. Its new 460XVR revolver has generated a backlog of orders, and the firm is aggressively launching its new Military & Police Pistol series in November. Management has also said that a strategy for re-entering the rifle market should be announced in the near future. This could mean internal manufacture, licensing or an acquisition.

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At the time of publication, Moreland was long SWB, although holdings can change at any time.

Jonathan Moreland is director of research and publisher of the weekly publication InsiderInsights, founder of the Web site InsiderInsights.com and the director of research at Insider Asset Management LLC. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While he cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, Moreland appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.


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