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RealMoney.com: Earnings Power
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GE Needs to Better Its Practices

By Hewitt Heiserman
RealMoney.com Contributor

12/20/2004 7:23 AM EST
 
 General Electric (GE:NYSE) BULLISH
Price: $36.75  |  52-Week Range: $28.88-$37.75
  • GE has gone on an acquisition spree, and most acquisitions do not benefit stockholders.
  • As a result, intangibles as a percentage of GE stockholders' equity have risen sharply.
  • Another concern is how much of this activity benefits its executives.
Position: Long



General Electric (GE - commentary - Cramer's Take) shareholders heard some good news at the company's investor meeting last week as CEO Jeffrey R. Immelt reaffirmed fourth-quarter earnings guidance of 48 cents to 51 cents per share. Full-year 2004 results will clock in at $1.57 to $1.60 per share, he said, while forecasting 2005 profits will increase 13% to 17%, to $1.75 to $1.83 per share.

The news was welcomed by GE stockholders, who long for the double-digit growth of the halcyon 1990s. Since 2001, net income growth has averaged just 6% a year. GE's stock, which peaked at $60 in late-2000, closed Friday at $36.75.

Left unaddressed at GE's powwow, however, are some simmering concerns about the company's recent acquisition spree and potentially related issues with executive compensation.

In the last year, GE has acquired several companies as part of its strategy to shed low-growth, capital-intensive businesses in favor of more promising industries that are growing faster than the broader economy. However, GE has paid premium prices to acquire businesses in areas such as water services and security systems. To wit:

  • Nov. 23 -- GE paid $1.2 billion for Ionics (excluding assumed debt), or 48% more than the water treatment company's preannouncement market value;
  • Nov. 15 -- $1.4 billion for Edwards Systems Technology, or 40% more than analysts thought the fire-and-security unit was worth;
  • March 15 -- $900 million for InVision Technologies, or 22% more than the bomb detection maker's stock price before the announcement, and;
  • October 2003 -- 800 pence a share for Amersham, or 45% more than the diagnostic imaging firm's preannouncement stock price.
  • As a GE shareholder, I hope all this acquisition activity boosts intrinsic value. But most acquisitions do not benefit stockholders, research shows. A common reason for disappointment is because the buyer overpays for expected revenue gains and cost savings that never materialize.

    Time will tell whether these deals make sense. What we know today, however, is that GE's intangibles as a percentage of stockholders' equity is going up; this isn't surprising as a common type of intangible capital is accounting goodwill, which results when a buyer pays more than the seller's net worth.

    At year-end 1995, soft assets were 39% of GE's book value; as of Sept. 30, that figure had climbed to 80%. The higher this ratio, the sketchier a firm's corporate net worth. In GE's case, if this trend persists there won't be any tangible book left in a few years!

    Where's the (Tangible) Beef?
    Intangibles as a percentage of GE stockholders' equity have risen sharply
    12/95 12/96 12/97 12/98 12/99 12/00 12/01 12/02 12/03 9/04
    39% 51% 56% 61% 61% 54% 64% 72% 69% 80%
    Source: Reuters

    Go to NEXT PAGE



    At the time of publication, Heiserman was long GE, although positions may change at any time. Hewitt Heiserman conceived the Earnings Power Chart, Earnings Power Box and Earnings Power Staircase. A financial analyst for the past 15 years, Heiserman is a member of the Boston Security Analyst Society and the Association for Investment Management and Research. He also authored It's Earnings That Count, a book published by McGraw-Hill. For additional information, please visit www.earningspower.com. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Heiserman appreciates your feedback and invites you to send it to hewitt.heiserman@thestreet.com.

    TheStreet.com has a revenue-sharing relationship with Amazon.com under which it receives a portion of the revenue from Amazon purchases by customers directed there from TheStreet.com.

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