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The odds are that oil prices are headed higher in the first quarter of 2007. In each of the past five years, crude oil futures have jumped an average of almost 12% in the quarter. Even in 2005, a weak year for oil prices, the gain came to almost 7% in the quarter.
The coming year is shaping up as one that will be dominated by strong trends with limited life spans such as this one. I can see similar patterns developing during the year in homebuilders, gold, airlines and Japanese equities. Investors who know their way around ETFs should be able to use them to make solid short-term trading profits. You don't need to master the ins and outs of every ETF (plus near relations such as HLDRS, which track a basket of stocks rather than an underlying index) to use them profitably in 2007. In fact, I think you can do well with just five ETFs. You might call them "all the ETFs you'll need for 2007."
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Jim Jubak is senior markets editor for MSN Money. He is a former senior financial editor at Worth magazine and editor of Venture magazine. Jubak was a Bagehot Business Journalism Fellow at Columbia University and has written two books: "The Worth Guide to Electronic Investing" and "In the Image of the Brain: Breaking the Barrier Between the Human Mind and Intelligent Machines." As an investor, he says he believes the conventional wisdom is always wrong -- but that he will nonetheless go with the herd if he believes there's a profit to be made. He lives in New York. While Jubak cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.
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