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Markets: Active Trader Update
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Look for Ramps in So-Called Disappointers

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

6/15/2006 3:18 PM EDT
Click here for more stories by Jim Cramer
 

This column was originally published on RealMoney on June 15 at 12:11 p.m. EDT. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com readers.



Let's talk about Network Appliance (NTAP - commentary - Cramer's Take) and the power of negative thinking. Three weeks ago, Network Appliance reported earnings. The brutal Nasdaq selloff had already started. The stock was trading around $34. The company reported a stellar quarter and then increased guidance.

The stock immediately plummeted, which then produced a plethora of stories about how Network Appliance had missed the quarter, guided less than expected or somehow botched its execution.

Those stories were all false. They were written to give a reason for the downturn when the only reason was that we were in a sell-sell-sell period, meaning that no matter what a company said, if it was on the Nazz, the stock was going down.

I own the stock for Action Alerts PLUS and was mortified by the decline. Worse, I could do nothing because my trading restrictions had been triggered when someone asked me about it in one of my venues not long before the plunge.

At the time, I told Action Alerts PLUS subscribers that there was nothing wrong and it seemed like a great buying opportunity. I could tell that the market dismissed my thinking, I believe because the press, abetted by the decline, "confirmed" the so-called disappointing quarter.

Now the stock is above where it was when it reported.

I suspect that many companies that reported so-called disappointing quarters or had "problems," like Qualcomm (QCOM - commentary - Cramer's Take), for instance, or even like a Conexant (CNXT - commentary - Cramer's Take), can now ramp.

The reason I suggest all this is because we have seen this pattern time and time again. At my old hedge fund I called it "sell mode," as in "every news event, everything that happens, is going to be sold." I used to compile a list of all the stocks that were getting treated like Network Appliance just did, and then, when sell mode ended -- usually because of the technical factors I am describing -- you had to be nimble and buy the Network Appliances because you remembered the truth.

Now, Network Appliance, because it actually delivered a great quarter, can fulfill its promise.

Who else is in this position? What companies are doing well but got pummeled when the market was bad?

How about Citrix (CTXS - commentary - Cramer's Take), which I think will have the strongest quarter of all the tech stocks I follow? That one's ramping today, but it is down so big from where this selloff started that I think it is nowhere near done going up. I own it, I have defended it all the way down and now it is Citrix's turn.

P.S. from TheStreet.com Editor-in-Chief, Dave Morrow:
It's always been my opinion that it pays to have more -- not fewer -- expert market views and analyses when you're making investing or trading decisions. That's why I recommend you take advantage of our free trial offer to TheStreet.com's RealMoney premium Web site, where you'll get in-depth commentary and money-making strategies from over 50 Wall Street pros, including Jim Cramer. Take my advice -- try it now.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Network Appliance, Qualcomm and Citrix Systems.

Here's your chance to pick the stock you'd like me to feature on my radio show June 22:
BEA Systems
Bear Stearns
Carrizo Oil
Garmin
Hovnanian
WCI

REMEMBER to listen in on Thursday for my take on the stock that wins this poll!







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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Listen to Cramer's RealMoney Radio show on your computer; just click here. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" at 6 p.m. ET weeknights on CNBC. Click here to order Cramer's latest book, "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get his second book, "You Got Screwed!" and click here to order Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column by clicking here.

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