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Personal Finance: Portfolio Readjustment
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Getting Your Portfolio in Better Shape, Part 2

By David Merkel
RealMoney.com Contributor

3/29/2007 12:43 PM EDT
Click here for more stories by David Merkel
 

The following is the second of a two-part series. In the first part, Mr. Merkel explains the philosophy and criteria he uses when reshaping his portfolio. The following outlines the portfolio additions and subtractions he made based on those criteria.



We left off yesterday with the construction of my final list. (Click "no" for any query boxes that may pop up. The sheet will appear regardless.)

Companies in my portfolio are highlighted in yellow, except for the middle company, Allstate (ALL - commentary - Cramer's Take), which is orange. Why the difference? No company above the middle company can be sold, and no candidate below it can be bought, except in rare circumstances, in which valuation cannot be adequately measured by the ranking model.

Working up from the bottom, I decide what to sell. If I'm not selling something that rates low, I have to have an explanation for why I am keeping it.

What I Did Not Sell

  • St. Joe (JOE - commentary - Cramer's Take): This didn't score well. The land is considerably more valuable than the share price would indicate.
  • SPX Corp (SPW - commentary - Cramer's Take), Sara Lee (SLE - commentary - Cramer's Take): These are still in turnaround mode. The metrics don't look good now, but should improve.
  • Sappi (SPP - commentary - Cramer's Take): The underlying-asset value is not reflected in the metrics. South Africa is out of favor.
  • Dow Chemical (DOW - commentary - Cramer's Take): It's still cheap, and there are probably transactions that can unlock value.
  • DTE Energy (DTE - commentary - Cramer's Take): My one U.S. utility. It would benefit from a sale of its energy production arm. I'm close to selling, but not quite there yet.
  • Premium Standard (PORK - commentary - Cramer's Take): The Smithfield merger will go through, and they will be able to take out costs. I think cost pressures have reached their maximum here, and profits will improve more than Street estimates.
  • Go to NEXT PAGE


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    At the time of publication, Merkel and/or his fund was long Vishay Intertechnology, Komag, Nam Tai Electronics, Bronco Drilling, Barclays, Lithia Motors, Sonic Automotive, Dow Chemical, Lyondell Chemical, St. Joe Company, Sappi, SPX Corp, Sara Lee, DTE Energy, Premium Standard Farms, YRC Worldwide, Tsakos Energy Navigation and Allstate, though positions may change at any time.

    David J. Merkel, CFA, FSA, is a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. Previously, he managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Merkel cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

    Analyst Certification: All of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst about any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of the compensation of the research analyst named herein was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst in this report.

    Merkel is employed by Hovde Capital Advisors LLC (the "firm"), a registered investment advisor with its principal office located in Washington, D.C. The Firm and/or its affiliates have or may have a long or short position or holding in the securities, options on securities, or other related investments of the issuers mentioned herein.



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