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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
10,308.26 1,096.07 2,180.05 34.87
Oil *
73.22
DOWN
132.86
DOWN
13.11
DOWN
26.86
DOWN
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10 Yr
3.49%
SPDR Gold
107.34
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Commentary: Wrong! Rear Echelon Revelations
*New* Alerts! Please click here...

How's Your Hearing, Cisco Fans?
By James J. Cramer

3/14/01 8:46 AM ET


Read More
Click here for the latest from James J. Cramer.
Who the heck took away a bullish view from Cisco's (CSCO:Nasdaq - news - boards) John Chambers yesterday? Who in his right mind actually thought he said things were stabilizing or getting better? Who thought it was right that the stock rallied 10% yesterday?

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Let's get what John Chambers said straight. In November, business was still smoking. He was still worried about not having enough parts to meet demand! In December, things started to decline, and decline faster than Chambers can ever recall. But he didn't panic. He waited to see whether there was pickup before he sounded alarm. On the 10th of January, he told people at the Morgan Stanley conference that business was challenging. At the end of January, with no pickup, he told CNBC's Ron Insana at Davos, Switzerland, that things had gotten very challenging. In February things did not pick up. In some markets they downticked. Things are now so bad that he doesn't expect a pickup any time soon. In fact, he thinks that it won't be a quick turn.

How the heck did that litany get interpreted as bullish? How did anyone take away any confidence in the future from that? Yet, that's what the reports are saying. And that's why I thought it was still one more good chance to lighten up on Cisco and other stocks and the mutual funds that own them.

Yesterday I got an email from one of the momentum managers. He told me he is beginning to hear of a pickup in networking orders. I said to myself, "You know what? Maybe when you are down 50%, you simply lose your faculties of perception." It is also possible that one or two customers did actually get some orders. There are orders, you know. But that certainly wasn't how Chambers described things.

Hey, maybe Chambers is dead wrong. Maybe he knows nothing. But I don't think so. Oh, one other thing: Chambers had the decency to apologize for his and his stock's performance. Class act. Even in this Godforsaken tech tape.

Random musings: AOL chat tonight with me at 5 p.m.. Be there! And I'll be on "Squawk" tomorrow!!


James J. Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send comments on his column to jjcletters@thestreet.com.
Send letters to the editor to letters@realmoney.com.
Read our conflicts and disclosure policy.
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What do you expect when managers are rewarded only for capital gains and never spanked for losses?

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Give Credit Where It's Due
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Some folks may have selective memories, but it's irrefutable that JJC made great call last March.

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3/12/01 6:34 PM ET
You must get out of those (tech) stocks caught in a mutual fund selling vortex.




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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
10,308.26 1,096.07 2,180.05 34.87
Oil *
73.22
DOWN
132.86
DOWN
13.11
DOWN
26.86
DOWN
1.09
10 Yr
3.49%
SPDR Gold
107.34
-1.27%
-1.18%
-1.22%
-3.03%
Data delayed 20 minutes

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