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Opinion: Nick Godt
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Fed Keeps Pressure On

By Nick Godt
Markets Reporter

9/20/2005 4:07 PM EDT
 
 FOMC
  • The Fed sticks to its 15-month-old anti-inflation blueprint.
  • The Fed still believes policy is accommodative and can be removed at a 'measured pace'.

Updated from 2:59 p.m. EDT



The Federal Reserve raised official U.S. interest rates by another quarter-point Tuesday, sticking to its 15-month-old anti-inflation blueprint while acknowledging the economic stress created by Hurricane Katrina and its impact on energy prices. The Fed retained its commitment to a "measured" schedule of future rate hikes.

The Federal Open Market Committee raised its fed funds target to 3.75% -- its 11th consecutive 25-basis-point tightening. Although generally expected, the decision was the first to involve any legitimate drama since the Fed began pushing rates higher in June 2004. Indeed, one Fed governor, Mark Olson, voted to leave rates unchanged.

Hawkish language in the accompanying policy statement reversed early gains in the stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 76 points to 10,4782. Bond yields were steady.

The committee's assessment of current economic conditions was radically changed from previous statements, reflecting Katrina.

"The widespread devastation in the Gulf region, the associated dislocation of economic activity, and the boost to energy prices imply that spending, production, and employment will be set back in the near term," the FOMC wrote. "In addition to elevating premiums for some energy products, the disruption to the production and refining infrastructure may add to energy price volatility.

"While these unfortunate developments have increased uncertainty about near-term economic performance, it is the committee's view that they do not pose a more persistent threat. Rather, monetary policy accommodation, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing ongoing support to economic activity," the FOMC wrote.

"Higher energy and other costs have the potential to add to inflation pressures. However, core inflation has been relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain contained," the Fed said.

The Fed left its price-risk assessment unchanged.

"The committee perceives that, with appropriate monetary policy action, the upside and downside risks to the attainment of both sustainable growth and price stability should be kept roughly equal. With underlying inflation expected to be contained, the committee believes that policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured," it said.

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In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, Godt doesn't own or short individual stocks. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. He appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.


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