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RealMoney.com: Technical Analysis
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Powerful Week For Cardinal Health

By Gary Morrow
RealMoney Contributor

8/19/2009 2:21 PM EDT
Click here for more stories by Gary Morrow
 
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Cardinal Health (CAH - commentary - Trade Now) is breaking out this week and is in the early stages of leaving behind a very solid long-term base. After two powerful positive volume days earlier this week and yesterday's guidance boost, the shares are up another 2% today.

 
The stock is taking out heavy trendline resistance in the process as well as its 200-day moving average. Cardinal Health has struggled with its 200-day over the past few weeks and now appears finally to be leaving this level behind. One year ago, the stock was having similar issues with its 200-day but was eventually turned away just prior to the fall 2008 collapse. The last time Cardinal Health was able to hold above its 200-day was over two years ago. I believe this trend is about to end.

CAH Daily (NYSE) -- Cardinal Health
CAH Chart
Source: TradeStation

The stock now has very strong support between the $34.40 to $33.60 area. A low-volume pullback to this area would provide a low-risk buying opportunity. On the upside, the stock will have some considerable hurdles to overcome. The area of multi-week highs left behind during May and early June will likely bring out some heavy supply. This area extends from $36.45 to $37.25 and includes the daily high from June 2. Cardinal Health had one of its worst downside days in the past year with a 10% drop on near-record volume on June 2. I doubt this area will stop this rally for long. I expect a healthy pullback from here. A run up to $40.00 is my upside target for this move, which would re-test the highs for 2009 and complete a 20% rally from this week's lows.

At the time of publication, Morrow had no positions in the stocks mentioned.


Know what you own: Other medical equipment stocks include AmerisourceBergen (ABC - commentary - Trade Now), McKesson (MCK - commentary - Trade Now), Owens & Minor (OMI - commentary - Trade Now), PSS World Medical (PSSI - commentary - Trade Now), Patterson Companies (PDCO - commentary - Trade Now) and Henry Schein (HSIC - commentary - Trade Now).






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