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RealMoney.com: Technical Analysis
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Cree Surges to New Highs

By Gary Morrow
RealMoney Contributor

8/12/2009 1:33 PM EDT
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Cree (CREE - commentary - Trade Now) is ramping following last night's very strong fourth-quarter report. (link story here) The company earned record revenue in the quarter along with a 15% annual revenue increase to $567 million. CEO Chuck Swoboda noted that the strong fourth quarter was an "outstanding finish to a very good year." He also mentioned the company's "very strong" first-quarter backlog due to growing demand in LED product lines. In its upgrade from "underperform" to "neutral," Merrill Lynch/Bank of America mentioned the long-term prospects of the LCD market.

 
The stock is responding with a powerful breakout on very heavy trade. The huge gap higher open pushed the stock to new highs for the year and its best level since February 2008. The move is attracting quite a bit of attention as volume spikes to near triple the stock's daily average in the early going.

CREE Daily (Nasdaq)
Cree
TradeStation

The big ramp today extends a rally that began a month ago just above the $26.00 area. Cree was in the process of working off a near-record volume 10% ramp after the company raised its fourth-quarter financial targets. The stock could not build on the May 27 move and, within a few days, began a deep pullback that retraced all of the one-day gains. The slide ended on July 13 as volume continued to contract. With the big gains today Cree is now up 25% in four weeks.

The current run has left behind significant underlying support. A light-volume pullback to the $32.00 area would be a buying opportunity. On the upside, I expect the stock to run into some resistance at $35.00. This is an area of multiyear highs going back to the first quarter of 2006 and including the third quarter of 2007 as well as last year's first quarter. Once convincingly through this area, Cree will have left behind a very solid long-term base.

At the time of publication, Morrow had no positions in the stocks mentioned.


Know what you own: Other semiconductor equipment and materials stocks include Applied Materials (AMAT - commentary - Trade Now), KLA-Tencor (KLAC - commentary - Trade Now), Advantest (ATE - commentary - Trade Now), Lam Research (LRCX - commentary - Trade Now), Advanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASX - commentary - Trade Now) and Varian Semiconductor Equipment (VSEA - commentary - Trade Now).






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