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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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The Banks Are the Missing Piece

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

11/5/2009 10:35 AM EST
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Tech, oils but no banks. That's the scenario that's worrying me right now, because without the banks we cannot sustain this rally. That's not me being bearish, that's me being realistic. This rally will fade if it is based on tech, oil and the industrials, as it is now. With Wells Fargo (WFC - commentary - Trade Now) teetering and JPMorgan (JPM - commentary - Trade Now) always looking like it is rolling over and Goldman Sachs (GS - commentary - Trade Now) failing, you fall prey to a market that is based on productivity and job cuts and not expansion and credit improvement.

I like a market up on weak-dollar job-cutters as much as anyone and am gratified to see 3M (MMM - commentary - Trade Now) and United Tech (UTX - commentary - Trade Now) ramping. But Regions Financial (RF - commentary - Trade Now), Huntington (HBAN - commentary - Trade Now) and Citigroup (C - commentary - Trade Now) are more important at this point because we have to be able to continually reliquify the banking system with equity offerings that can make us money. That's not the case right now, and TARP-plagued banks remain THE ISSUE affecting this market.

I also like a market that has Apple (AAPL - commentary - Trade Now) and Qualcomm (QCOM - commentary - Trade Now) in the lead, but those too can be reversed if we don't get some sort of positive data points instead of simply "less negative" data points, a la Cisco (CSCO - commentary - Trade Now) and Qualcomm.

The rollover in retail is disturbing unless you consider the run. That makes me want to buy it, not sell it.

Still, all three legs of the bank/tech/oil stool must be steady.

Right now, they aren't.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, Cisco and Qualcomm.


Special note from Jim: You can learn my time-tested ways to trade smart, even in this market. All my latest thinking is in my brand-new book, Getting Back to Even, which I'll send to you as part of a special promotion when you sign up for my Action Alerts PLUS service for a limited time. So if you sign up now, you'll get to see how I'm playing these stocks in my portfolio today, plus, I'll teach you how you can play these stocks to help your portfolio get back to even.

Cramer's Upcoming Book Signings

Tuesday, Nov. 17, 7 p.m. Barnes & Noble, Manhattan (33 East 17th St.)





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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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