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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Falling Natural Gas is Great News For Packaged Goods

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

9/3/2008 4:43 PM EDT
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Raising numbers for packaged goods! That's what you have to do with this incredible decline in natural gas. That's a gigantic part of the cost structure of Procter & Gamble (PG - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Pepsi (PEP - commentary - Cramer's Take) or of Colgate (CL - commentary - Cramer's Take) and General Mills (GIS - commentary - Cramer's Take) .

 
Those companies, unlike Dow (DOW - commentary - Cramer's Take), which is also a big natural gas user, or PPG Industries (PPG - commentary - Cramer's Take), which has the same raw cost, can maintain pricing. Dow shot itself with that expensive Rohm & Haas (ROH - commentary - Cramer's Take) deal, I don't know if PPG can pass on the costs either.

But the packaged goods companies just put through the increases and the estimates for the street are all based on natural gas north of $10.

These prices just aren't in the numbers at all and despite the fact that many of these companies are weak dollar plays--except for GIS and PEP--you have the moment right now where the raw costs have dramatically offset the dollar, giving you plenty of room to buy these stocks on a tick for tick basis with the decline in natural gas.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long GIS, PEP and PG.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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