DOW
loading...
NASDAQ
loading...
S&P
loading...




Action Alerts PLUS
RealMoney Silver
Market Movers
Stocks Under $10
Options Alerts
Breakout Stocks
View All


Now, enjoy the good life every day!

RSSRSS FEEDS
PODPODCASTS


RealMoney.com: Energy
Print This Story

Canadian Trusts 101: It's Not Too Late
Page 2



After such a huge run, an investor has to worry about whether it's too late to buy Prudhoe Bay.

What's interesting to note, however, is that while Prudhoe Bay's yield today is nearly 12%, when the stock traded in the low teens three years ago, it yielded about 15%. Why hasn't this dramatic share price increase seen a corresponding drop in the yield? Because payouts have risen substantially, right along with the prices of oil and natural gas.

Now, this inherently describes the key risk to such holdings: the price of energy. If that were to decline in a lasting way, so would payouts. Indeed, if one believes that rising interest rates in the U.S. and Europe could lead to a slowing global economy, then the demand-side story that has boosted energy could bring about the opposite for a while, regardless of how compelling the long-term energy story is.

Still, in trying to find an answer to the question of whether value remains in this sector, Elliott Gue, editor of The Energy Strategist, pointed out the recent action in the oil and gas royalty trusts. "We were pleasantly surprised by how the gas-related royalty trusts held up recently," he told me late last week by telephone.

A six-month view of PrimeWest Energy Trust (PWI - commentary - Cramer's Take), one of the few Canadian trusts listed on a U.S. exchange, shows what he's referring to:

Stalwart
PrimeWest wasn't slashed along with natural gas prices
Source: StockCharts.com

Despite the fact that the price of natural gas been nearly cut in half since late December, the price of this trust -- which has a 75% weighting in natural gas -- hasn't budged, and it's representative of the way most gas trusts have acted lately.

To Gue's way of thinking, this may suggest these companies won't swing violently with every dip in oil or gas. If we're living in a new world where energy prices will be generally higher than we had gotten used to, say, with oil ranging from $50-$70/barrel, then the payouts in high-quality trusts should be sustainable and the stocks relatively stable, Gue surmises.

The 'Point of Pain' for Oil: $70

As the price of crude nears $70 once again, many are suggesting that it's poised to reach $80-$100/barrel. Maybe. The one-year chart of crude certainly hasn't signaled a breakdown:

No Sign of Slowing
Crude's chart doesn't flash any obvious warning signals
Source: StockCharts.com

Go to NEXT PAGE


 RELATED STORIES

Energy
Sempra Burns Bright
1/24/2006 1:06 PM EST
It's an energy company in utility clothing with guru appeal.

Energy
Gusher May Be Ahead in Oil Service
1/20/2006 3:00 PM EST
Schlumberger's blowout quarter and bullish outlook augur well for the sector as a whole.

Energy
Fill Up With These Gas Stocks
1/18/2006 12:31 PM EST
Natural gas futures are likely to bounce back from their recent dive. Here are three companies that should rise with them.



Charles P. Hanlon focuses on non-dollar investments. He is currently the president of Delta Global Advisors. At the time of publication, Hanlon had no positions in any of the securities mentioned in this column, although positions may change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investing in foreign markets involves unique risks including, but not limited to, currency fluctuation and political risk. In addition, international investing is typically more expensive for U.S. investors than buying shares listed on a U.S. exchange. Hanlon appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.
Write us!
Order reprints of TSC articles. Top

Back to Yahoo




Brokerage Partners


TheStreet Premium Services
Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS
Now any level of investor can trade right alongside a Wall Street pro — and enjoy 24/7 access to his portfolio! Learn More
Doug Kass
RealMoney Silver
The genius of Doug Kass + 5 Premium Services = an unrivaled group of expert fundamental analysts, technical analysts, and Wall Street observers. Learn More
Don Dion
NEW! Don Dion's ETF Action
A concise two-step strategy for learning and trading in this increasingly lucrative area of investing. For all levels of investors! Learn More
David Peltier
Stocks Under $10
David Peltier is ready to help you find affordable stocks under $10. Because they're so inexpensive, the payout could be enormous! Learn More
Bryan Ashenberg
Breakout Stocks
Bryan Ashenberg combines sophisticated screening software with eagle-eye analysis to find small and mid-caps ready to break out! Learn More

Investor Relations | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Conflicts Policy | Corrections | Internet Index | Advertise | FAQ
Site Map | Who's Who | Reader Feedback | Employment | Contact Us
RSSSubscribe to our RSS Feed
© 1996- TheStreet.com, Inc. All rights reserved.
TheStreet.com's enterprise databases running Oracle are professionally monitored and managed by Pythian Remote DBA.