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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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The Bear Necessities

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

11/5/2009 9:21 AM EST
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Boy, have I struck a nerve with this mock bear-ativity, the notion of spinning everything negative. So, here's my dose for today:

 
Productivity being so high is a sign that people are working two jobs and are stretched and won't have the money to pay the bills and spend. It is also a sign that companies are still firing. It is bearish.

Jobless claims are still over 500,000. Until they are under 500,000, the market remains a short.

Retail sales are disappointing. Forget Gap (GAP - commentary - Trade Now) and Urban Outfitters (URBN - commentary - Trade Now) and Nordstrom (JWN - commentary - Trade Now). They are aberrations. Focus on J.C. Penney (JCP - commentary - Trade Now) and American Eagle (AEO - commentary - Trade Now) and a lackluster Target (TGT - commentary - Trade Now). They are true depictions of the nasty situation out there.

The central banks have all gone mad, as mad as Buffett, trying to keep rates down when they should be higher and supporting the dollar, which is necessary -- in part because it would buttress the case of weak earnings by being self-fulfilling. In retrospect, Buffet has lost his mind by going against all of his instincts. He's a dope now, too, as is anyone who pays up for anything.

Cisco? (CSCO - commentary - Trade Now) Chambers is a fraud, pumping his stock again. Qualcomm (QCOM - commentary - Trade Now) is clearly worse than expected (even though it isn't).

3M (MMM - commentary - Trade Now) has just said at the Goldman conference that commodity increases are coming and we are not out of the woods, economically -- so short MMM and everything else industrial. Another down day. Another day where any strength is worth selling. Another day where Goldman Sachs (GS - commentary - Trade Now) will reverse and Apple (AAPL - commentary - Trade Now) should be sold because of the Android and Motorola (MOT - commentary - Trade Now) resurgence.

Gold's rally continues to portend doom, gloom, no boom. The only beneficiary is Black & Decker (BDK - commentary - Trade Now), because it makes wheelbarrows for us to transport debased dollars. Stanley Works (SWK - commentary - Trade Now), by the way, is moronic to pay up and double down on tools, because housing's never coming back.

There. How did I do?

At the time of publication, Cramer was long CSCO, QCOM and GS.


Special note from Jim: You can learn my time-tested ways to trade smart, even in this market. All my latest thinking is in my brand new book, Getting Back to Even, which I'll send to you as part of a special promotion when you sign up for my ActionAlertsPlus.com service for a limited time. So if you sign up now, you'll get to see how I'm playing these stocks in my portfolio today, plus, I'll teach you how you can play these stocks to help your portfolio get back to even.

Cramer's Upcoming Book Signings

Tuesday, Nov. 17, 7 p.m. Barnes & Noble, Manhattan (33 East 17th St.)





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At the time of publication, Cramer was long CSCO, QCOM and GS. Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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