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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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The Market Is Too Spooked by Oil Prices

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

5/21/2009 11:47 AM EDT
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This market sometimes has no idea what it is doing. Our stock market cannot absorb another run to $70 or $80 oil. The Procter & Gambles (PG - commentary - Trade Now) and the Dow Chemicals (DOW - commentary - Trade Now) cannot withstand it. The consumer cannot stand $3 gasoline, as the whole rally in the Darden (DRI - commentary - Trade Now)/Brinker (EAT - commentary - Trade Now) cohort was on the backs of the lower price of gasoline.

 
We can't lose the Macy's (M - commentary - Trade Now) and the Kohl's (KSS - commentary - Trade Now) either, and we learned that they are dependent on low, stable gasoline.

Yet, this market has to have all three -- tech, oil and finance -- go up, and the most important of these remains oil! So we get smashed on Occidental (OXY - commentary - Trade Now), Transocean (RIG - commentary - Trade Now), Chevron (CVX - commentary - Trade Now) and Exxon Mobil (XOM - commentary - Trade Now). It's absurd!

I think the market's wrong. Tame oil in the $50s is still doable and won't kill the market. That's why I am thrilled that $60 looks like a tough level to take out, and I am gratified that natural gas is down at $3.66, making it the real bargain out there.

I say don't sell off the Honeywells (HON - commentary - Trade Now) and the Emersons (EMR - commentary - Trade Now) on these numbers, although I recognize that some of this weakness also has to do with unemployment claims putting the double-dip back on the table.

From my vantage point, my biggest worry is gasoline going up. I feel better today, not worse, about commodity inflation, even as I am chilled by the unemployment claims and the Obama administration's now-relentless attacks on business through climate control.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long CVX and EMR.






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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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