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Everybody hates the stress test/TARP/public-private solution for banks, and that tells me that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke are going about things just right. And the stock market is showing you today, despite the 6% decline in GDP, that we could have a compromise that is a home run when it comes to these 19 institutions in question.
At least with the current plan there is a chance, albeit slim, that we will get some money back when things get better, and judging by the tenor of the economy, it is a "when," not if. Don't underestimate the power of that, because most of the problems with Citigroup could go away with a stronger economy. Sure, the government could break up Citigroup, and I think it really is doing that behind the scenes, or at least pressuring it, but that kind of intervention even for the "worst" bank, seems like a huge mistake and something that should now be put in the past, given the robust nature of the first quarter. Of course the pundits say the quarter is all a lie, but that's because they don't understand that there is forbearance at work which will always make the numbers look good.
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