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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Wondering What You Can Buy? Check the Oils

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist

2/20/2009 2:23 PM EST
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Yes, I do not believe you can advance with the nationalization issue on the table. Once again, the issue is not the common stock. You can dilute the common stock to almost nothing -- just look at AIG (AIG - commentary - Cramer's Take). That's fine. But if you wipe out the preferreds and the bonds, though, you know I believe the stock market will simply evaporate. That's how critical it is. I think that we could be down several thousand points on the wrong move.

But if we don't get that draconian measure of wiping out the residual securities for the banks, I believe we can go higher. What would go up? Oil and oil-related. We have hit two key levels in oil: stronger demand and weaker supply. You have been paying more for gasoline because of demand. The Chinese are investing huge to buy enough oil, with that Petrobras (PBR - commentary - Cramer's Take) deal. Meanwhile, as you can tell from Schlumberger (SLB - commentary - Cramer's Take), you are seeing a true cessation in drilling worldwide. Yes, Transocean (RIG - commentary - Cramer's Take) is talking about longer projects not being canceled. There's a lot of investment that can't be walked away from here.

That means, with increasing demand and declining supply, you can own the integrateds. The two downgrades of Exxon (XOM - commentary - Cramer's Take) yesterday were about this thesis. The analysts didn't downgrade Exxon because of weakness in crude, they are upgrading the other oils because they expect a run back up in crude, maybe to the $50 level.

I like Exxon the least, but oil is the best neighborhood so I am not a seller. But BP (BP - commentary - Cramer's Take), Chevron (CVX - commentary - Cramer's Take), ConocoPhillips (COP - commentary - Cramer's Take)?

These are the stocks to buy into this weakness. Right here. Right now. They will work: low valuations, high dividends, worldwide demand.

They work.

Random musings: I agree with Rick Santelli on something -- the last few Buffett trades have not been good!

At the time of publication, Cramer was long BP, Chevron and ConocoPhillips.






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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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