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These Early-Cycle Stocks Are Starting to Break Out

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

8/28/2008 4:20 PM EDT
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Here's three stocks making nice moves that seem to have bottomed: Fortune Brands (FO - commentary - Cramer's Take), Masco (MAS - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Black & Decker (BDK - commentary - Cramer's Take).

 
These unlikely three, all early-cycle stocks, have been moving up with the HGX and are really starting to break out, particularly Masco. These are all fine firms that have been clubbed relentlessly because of their exposure to housing, but, alas, might be generating some performance for a bit.

I owned Black & Decker for Action Alerts Plus but got in it too soon before the huge downturn in housing that occurred before the July 15 bottom. You can see that it got to the mid $50s and then was able to top relentlessly lowered earnings estimates, which led to a nice move.

It's just had a little retracement, but acts well now. In fact it acts a bit like Sears (SHLD - commentary - Cramer's Take)..

Masco bottomed right on July 15th--boy was that day bad--and it has had a monster move, the only one of these that seems to have come too far too fast, considering it's just really a glorified cabinet and bathroom appliance maker. But it is a well run one.

The stock that might be most intriguing but has been a big disappointment is Fortune Brands, a company addicted to buying back stock that has a liquor division that should be helping it more, as you can see from looking at a chart of Brown Forman (BF - commentary - Cramer's Take).

This one, if you can handle some earnings shade down that some bull might have to give you on the sell side, is probably the most attractive of the three.

I wish it didn't have that golf division. Golf without Tiger is sinking fast. But that's probably not enough to cause a further decline in the numbers.

I think this group is still another one that people want to rotate back to because the multiples are so cheap and the downside seemingly quantified by what might be a 2009 housing bottom.

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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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