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Forget Hurricanes -- Nat Gas Numbers Are Too Low

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

7/14/2008 11:29 AM EDT
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"The numbers are way too low." How many stocks or groups can you say that about? To me, the only groups I know that can have numbers way too low are the natural gas companies and those that drill for them, plus the offshore drillers. That's it.

 
This morning we saw a bunch of firms including JPMorgan, Key, Wachovia and Macquarie (new equity research player in our country) raising numbers for the E&P companies. They have all moved to the point where they are way ahead of the Street.

Meanwhile, the stocks themselves right now are simply reflecting whether there is going to be a hurricane. Without one, the market throws away a Devon (DVN - commentary - Cramer's Take) or a Southwestern (SWN - commentary - Cramer's Take). But the numbers for those and for El Paso (EP - commentary - Cramer's Take) and National Oilwell Varco (NOV - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Cabot Oil & Gas (COG - commentary - Cramer's Take) and all the rest -- lots of Action Alerts PLUS names -- are all way too low, regardless of the hurricanes.

That's where the opportunity comes in. Keep in mind that Schlumberger (SLB - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Halliburton (HAL - commentary - Cramer's Take) have numbers too low, and I like Nabors (NBR - commentary - Cramer's Take) too. These just work here, as much as it seems ridiculous given how terrible the market is.

We are in a seemingly endless bear market, but there are pockets where the numbers are too low. But these are the only whole sectors where they are.

And the futures are a sideshow that somehow continues to be obeyed. Of course, when they rally, there's no end to the stocks' propulsion. But that, alas, is my least favorite moment because if a hurricane makes a right, that's over. Better to just have a view of where these stocks are going and stick with it.

Random musings: Quite amazing that the way the market is looking at Fannie (FNM - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Freddie (FRE - commentary - Cramer's Take) is to say it's no hope for the banking system, and IndyMac (IMB - commentary - Cramer's Take) is more likely the blueprint, hence the First Horizons (FHN - commentary - Cramer's Take) and the Washington Mutuals (WM - commentary - Cramer's Take) and the Wells Fargos (WFC - commentary - Cramer's Take) just getting killed.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Devon, Southwestern, El Paso, National Oilwell Varco and Cabot Oil & Gas.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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