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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Commodity Blowoff Creates Widespread Panic

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

7/8/2008 11:49 AM EDT
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That was pure panic. Just colossal panic. Everywhere. The oil and gas complex literally gave back tons of what it has made. Take Devon (DVN - commentary - Cramer's Take), obviously the best of the lot. With natural gas up about 60% year over year and up nicely this year alone, DVN is up 18% for the year and 30% year over year.

Or how about copper? We have seen close to a 30% slide in Freeport (FCX - commentary - Cramer's Take) in the last few weeks, but copper has had nowhere near that decline.

Or how about oil drilling? We have a tremendous shortage in rigs, and the only major builder of rigs is National Oilwell Varco (NOV - commentary - Cramer's Take). That stock is only up 6% for the year.

It is clear that we have had a commodity blowoff here. But the stocks have been hammered more than the commodities, and unless you think that natural gas is going back to $10 or oil to $120, it isn't a bad level to buy these.

Obviously we have a total smoking rally in the drugs and a nascent one in the stocks of companies that need oil lower. I like that -- they are oversold. But I think the old leadership is not dead and buried. I think it is having a classic retreat in a bull market.

Perhaps, just perhaps, if the financials stay out of our way for a couple of days, we can actually have a rally that lasts after that amazing panic of the morning.

At the time of publication, Cramer was long Devon, National Oilwell Varco and Freeport-McMoRan.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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