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RealMoney.com: Jim Cramer Blog
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Where's the Link Between Lower Oil and Tech?

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist

6/25/2008 3:54 PM EDT
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Oil's going down -- take some Apple (AAPL - commentary - Cramer's Take)! Oil futures getting hit -- great opportunity for IBM (IBM - commentary - Cramer's Take). Let's grab some Microsoft (MSFT - commentary - Cramer's Take) and some Lam Research (LRCX - commentary - Cramer's Take), because gasoline might be softening. Why not by options on the SOX? The Semi HOLDRs (SMH - commentary - Cramer's Take)? They work well when we pay less at the pump.

Yep, here we go again with the ridiculous, counterintuitive hedge fund playbook where we buy NDX because we need to do something on these down oil days.

I swear, there have to be hundreds of hedge funds out there who play this way, or you couldn't budge these stocks. I get the retail play: the zero-sum gasoline/apparel trade at least has some rigor. I get the restaurant trade on a day like this with Darden (DRI - commentary - Cramer's Take) and would encourage buying McDonald's (MCD - commentary - Cramer's Take) and Yum! (YUM - commentary - Cramer's Take).

But the SOX? Novellus (NVLS - commentary - Cramer's Take)? Broadcom (BRCM - commentary - Cramer's Take)? Nokia (NOK - commentary - Cramer's Take)? Can you believe this nonsense? And the fact that it might be up tomorrow because analysts endlessly recommend them won't make them any more right.

However, it remains the easiest pattern to predict, and if you think oil will be down tomorrow, then who can stop you from buying some Intel (INTC - commentary - Cramer's Take) and why would IBM stop at $126?!

Oh and F5 (FFIV - commentary - Cramer's Take) is soaring today -- it must be a great play on diesel!

At the time of publication, Cramer was long McDonald's.






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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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